2018 NFL Draft · recap
Post-draft synthesis: how the league's hauls graded, what Draftanomics's biggest hits and misses were, where the class shape ended up, and which teams held the capital advantage going in.
Hits
43
model rated higher, player produced
Misses
21
model rated higher, player busted
Saves
11
model rated lower, player busted
Net edge
-18
Class shape
ST/QB/OL deep
- Specialistselite-depth
- QBelite-depth
- EDGE / DL / LBaverage
- Offensive lineelite-depth
- RB / WR / TEaverage
- CB / Saverage
Best hauls
- CHIA-Solid value haul (+29.0 mean pick delta vs model). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks). Lower-risk profile across the class.Headlined by Roquan Smith (ILB) at pick 8
- DETA-Solid value haul (+22.5 mean pick delta vs model). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks). Lower-risk profile across the class.Headlined by Frank Ragnow (C) at pick 20
- ATLA-Solid value haul (+20.0 mean pick delta vs model). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks). Lower-risk profile across the class.Headlined by Calvin Ridley (WR) at pick 26
Worst hauls
- LARFReaches across the board (-37.4 mean delta). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks).Headlined by Joseph Noteboom (OT) at pick 89
- DALFReaches across the board (-29.0 mean delta). Filled positions of typical need (89% of picks).Headlined by Leighton Vander Esch (OLB) at pick 19
- GNBFReaches across the board (-24.6 mean delta). Filled positions of typical need (73% of picks). Lower-risk profile across the class.Headlined by Jaire Alexander (CB) at pick 18
Biggest hits
- None recorded.
Biggest misses
- Michael DicksonPIQ #59 · NFL #149
- Kendrick NortonDTIQ #169 · NFL #242
Capital advantage going in
CLE led the league with the most capital; LA had the least. League total: 627 CS points across 32 teams.
Full 2018 board →