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RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
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Past class — locked, then graded

2016 NFL Draft

A past class. The model never saw these players when it learned — this board is what Draftanomics would have said on draft night, graded against how the careers actually played out.

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Showing 64 of 253 prospects in this draft class
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64 of 64 prospects shown · ranked by the career-value model

Blue Chip

6 prospects · picks #1–#6

Day-1 starter ceiling. The class's franchise pieces.

1
Jalen RamseyPre-Combine

Jalen Ramsey

Blue Chipblend#1$12MCB·Florida St.·6'1", 209 lb·21.5 yrs·$22M($16M–$29M)·404.41

Blue-chip CB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting coverage grade career avg.

Career outlookElite 30%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence7%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #5JAXY1 5.3
2
A'Shawn RobinsonPre-Combine

A'Shawn Robinson

Blue Chipblend#2$12MDT·Alabama·6'4", 307 lb·21.1 yrs·$15M($6M–$25M)·405.20↑ 13 vs consensus

Blue-chip DT ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookBust 21%(tails only)
Bust probability33%Average risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #46DETY1 5.6
3
Jack ConklinPre-Combine

Jack Conklin

Blue Chipblend#3$11MOT·Michigan St.·6'6", 308 lb·$24M($15M–$32M)·405.00↑ 15 vs consensus

Blue-chip OT ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 21%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #8TEN
4
Ezekiel ElliottPre-Combine

Ezekiel Elliott

Blue Chipblend#4$10MRB·Ohio St.·6'0", 225 lb·20.8 yrs·$24M($18M–$30M)·404.47

Blue-chip RB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 22%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence9%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #4DALY1 18.0
5
Myles JackPre-Combine

Myles Jack

Blue Chipblend#5$9MOLB·UCLA·6'1", 245 lb·20.6 yrs·$16M·404.56

Blue-chip OLB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 33%(tails only)
Bust probability33%Average risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #36JAXY1 3.3
6
Cody WhitehairPre-Combine

Cody Whitehair

Blue Chipblend#6$8MG·Kansas St.·$21M($13M–$29M)↑ 23 vs consensus

Blue-chip G ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookBust 18%(tails only)
Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #56CHI

1st Round

26 prospects · picks #7–#32

Year-1 starter probability. First-round capital.

7
Reggie RaglandPre-Combine

Reggie Ragland

1st Roundblend#7$8MILB·Alabama·6'1", 247 lb·22.6 yrs·$8M·404.72

First-round ILB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 21%(tails only)
Bust probability16%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #41BUF
8
Joey BosaPre-Combine

Joey Bosa

1st Roundblend#8$7MEDGE·Ohio St.·6'5", 269 lb·20.8 yrs·$34M($24M–$43M)·404.86

First-round EDGE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 34%(tails only)
Bust probability2%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #3SDGY1 6.0
9
Ryan KellyPre-Combine

Ryan Kelly

1st Roundblend#9$7MC·Alabama·6'4", 311 lb·$21M($12M–$29M)·405.03↑ 38 vs consensus

First-round C profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (combine), charting gap run block grade.

Career outlookBust 15%(tails only)
Bust probability7%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Athleticism · RAS × production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #18IND
10
Corey ColemanPre-Combine

Corey Coleman

1st Roundblend#10$7MWR·Baylor·5'11", 194 lb·21.8 yrs·$7M($1M–$13M)·404.42↑ 16 vs consensus

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (combine); the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookBust 17%(tails only)
Bust probability0%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Athleticism · RAS × production · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #15CLEY1 14.6
11
Kentrell BrothersPre-Combine

Kentrell Brothers

1st RoundOLB·Missouri·6'0", 245 lb·23.2 yrs·$6M·404.89↑ 109 vs consensus

First-round OLB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting coverage grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Bust probability33%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #160MINY1 0.1
12
Josh DoctsonPre-Combine

Josh Doctson

1st Roundblend#12$6MWR·TCU·6'2", 202 lb·23.4 yrs·$6M($0M–$12M)·404.50↑ 12 vs consensus

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (combine), charting: yards per route run from the slot, best season.

Career outlookBust 14%(tails only)
Bust probability4%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Athleticism · Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #22WASY1 7.6
13
Carson WentzPre-Combine

Carson Wentz

1st Roundblend#13QB·North Dakota St.·23.3 yrs·—

First-round QB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: age.

Career outlookBust 16%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence16%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #2PHIY1 14.6
14
Jason SpriggsPre-Combine

Jason Spriggs

1st Roundblend#14$6MOT·Indiana·6'6", 301 lb·$6M($0M–$14M)·404.94↑ 31 vs consensus

First-round OT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (combine), scout consensus.

Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Athleticism · Scout consensus · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #48GNB
15
Vernon Hargreaves IIIPre-Combine

Vernon Hargreaves III

1st Roundblend#15$5MCB·Florida·5'10", 204 lb·20.9 yrs·$6M($0M–$13M)·404.50

First-round CB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 39%
Bust probability· low confidence0%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #11TAMY1 5.7
16
Jaylon SmithPre-Combine

Jaylon Smith

1st RoundOLB·Notre Dame·6'2", 223 lb·20.9 yrs·$14M·404.67↑ 18 vs consensus

First-round OLB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting coverage grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Bust probability21%Average risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Age · HS recruit rating · Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #34DAL
17
Jarran ReedPre-Combine

Jarran Reed

1st Roundblend#17$5MDT·Alabama·6'3", 307 lb·23.4 yrs·$24M($14M–$33M)·405.21

First-round DT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: age.

Career outlookBust 20%(tails only)
Bust probability33%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #49SEAY1 5.5
18
Sheldon RankinsPre-Combine

Sheldon Rankins

1st Roundblend#18$5MDT·Louisville·6'1", 299 lb·22.1 yrs·$14M($5M–$23M)·405.03

First-round DT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 23%(tails only)
Bust probability20%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #12NORY1 6.1
19
Kenneth DixonPre-Combine

Kenneth Dixon

1st Roundblend#19$4MRB·Louisiana Tech·5'10", 215 lb·22.3 yrs·$6M($0M–$12M)·404.56↑ 62 vs consensus

First-round RB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: charting total career snaps, charting int yards per route run career avg. Bust risk moderate (41%).

Bust probability· low confidence41%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #134BALY1 16.1
20
Kenny ClarkPre-Combine

Kenny Clark

1st Roundblend#20$4MDT·UCLA·6'3", 314 lb·20.6 yrs·$26M($17M–$36M)·405.06

First-round DT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting coverage grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookBust 20%(tails only)
Bust probability15%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #27GNBY1 5.0
21
Laremy TunsilPre-Combine

Laremy Tunsil

1st Roundblend#21$4MOT·Mississippi·6'5", 310 lb·$28M($20M–$37M)·405.23↓ 17 vs consensus

First-round OT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 23%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #13MIA
22
Leonard FloydPre-Combine

Leonard Floyd

1st Roundblend#22$4MOLB·Georgia·6'6", 244 lb·23.6 yrs·$27M·404.60

First-round OLB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 21%(tails only)
Bust probability17%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #9CHIY1 6.1
23
Taylor DeckerPre-Combine

Taylor Decker

1st Roundblend#23$4MOT·Ohio St.·6'7", 310 lb·$20M($12M–$28M)·405.23

First-round OT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookBust 19%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #16DET
24
Hunter HenryPre-Combine

Hunter Henry

1st Roundblend#24$4MTE·Arkansas·6'5", 250 lb·21.4 yrs·$22M($16M–$28M)·404.79↑ 26 vs consensus

First-round TE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: athleticism (combine), charting total career snaps.

Bust probability· low confidence7%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #35SDGY1 16.7
25
Darian ThompsonPre-Combine

Darian Thompson

1st RoundS·Boise St.·6'2", 208 lb·22.6 yrs·$4M($0M–$11M)·404.69↑ 45 vs consensus

First-round S profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: charting total career snaps, athleticism (combine).

Career outlookBust 22%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #71NYGY1 4.7
26
Robert NkemdichePre-Combine

Robert Nkemdiche

1st Roundblend#26$4MDT·Mississippi·6'3", 294 lb·21.6 yrs·$11M($1M–$20M)·404.87

First-round DT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg.

Career outlookBust 20%(tails only)
Bust probability20%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #29ARIY1 5.7
27
Jared GoffPre-Combine

Jared Goff

1st Roundblend#27QB·California·6'4", 215 lb·21.5 yrs·—·404.82↓ 18 vs consensus

First-round QB profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, charting pass grade max.

Career outlookElite 30%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence21%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #1LARY1 8.4
28
Su'a CravensPre-Combine

Su'a Cravens

1st Roundblend#28$4MOLB·USC·6'1", 226 lb·20.8 yrs·$8M·404.58↑ 12 vs consensus

First-round OLB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting coverage grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookBust 22%(tails only)
Bust probability25%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #53WASY1 4.4
29
Laquon TreadwellPre-Combine

Laquon Treadwell

1st Roundblend#29$4MWR·Mississippi·6'2", 221 lb·20.9 yrs·$7M($1M–$13M)·404.52↓ 16 vs consensus

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookBust 16%(tails only)
Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #23MINY1 4.7
30
Austin JohnsonPre-Combine

Austin Johnson

1st RoundDT·Penn St.·6'4", 314 lb·22.0 yrs·$10M($1M–$20M)·405.32

First-round DT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting run def grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps. Bust risk moderate (36%).

Career outlookBust 18%(tails only)
Bust probability36%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #43TENY1 5.2
31
Shaq LawsonPre-Combine

Shaq Lawson

1st Roundblend#31$3MEDGE·Clemson·6'3", 269 lb·21.9 yrs·$14M($5M–$23M)·404.70↓ 24 vs consensus

First-round EDGE profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100; the knock: charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg.

Career outlookElite 33%(tails only)
Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #19BUFY1 6.1
32
Ronnie StanleyPre-Combine

Ronnie Stanley

1st Roundblend#32$3MOT·Notre Dame·6'6", 312 lb·$23M($15M–$31M)·405.20↓ 24 vs consensus

First-round OT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 21%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #6BAL

Day 2

32 prospects · picks #33–#64

Year-1 contributor, year-3 starter timeline. Round 2-3 value.

33
Joshua GarnettPre-Combine

Joshua Garnett

Day 2blend#33$3MG·Stanford·6'4", 312 lb·$5M($0M–$13M)·405.32↑ 16 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookBust 16%(tails only)
Bust probability17%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #28SFO
34
DeForest BucknerPre-Combine

DeForest Buckner

Day 2blend#34$3MEDGE·Oregon·6'7", 291 lb·22.1 yrs·$25M($16M–$35M)·405.05↓ 29 vs consensus

What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 38%
Bust probability8%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #7SFOY1 5.5
35
Paxton LynchPre-Combine

Paxton Lynch

Day 2blend#35QB·Memphis·6'7", 244 lb·22.2 yrs·—·404.86

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookBust 17%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence29%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #26DENY1 9.9
36
Shon ColemanPre-Combine

Shon Coleman

Day 2OT·Auburn·6'5", 307 lb·$4M($0M–$12M)·405.18↑ 49 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #76CLE
37
Noah SpencePre-Combine

Noah Spence

Day 2blend#37$3MEDGE·Eastern Kentucky·22.3 yrs·$7M($0M–$16M)↓ 17 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 18%(tails only)
Bust probability14%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #39TAMY1 5.9
38
Rashard Robinson

Rashard Robinson

Day 2CB·LSU·20.8 yrs·$8M($1M–$15M)⚠ barely scouted

What the model likes: age, charting total career snaps, HS recruit rating.

Career outlookBust 23%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence30%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #133SFOY1 5.2
39
Jimmy LandesPre-Combine

Jimmy Landes

Day 2LS·Baylor·6'1", 240 lb·$6M($3M–$9M)·404.95⚠ barely scouted

What the model likes: athleticism (combine), age, charting total career snaps.

Bust probability31%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #210DET
40
Jonathan BullardPre-Combine

Jonathan Bullard

Day 2blend#40$3MDT·Florida·22.5 yrs·$16M($6M–$25M)

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg, HS recruit rating.

Career outlookBust 20%(tails only)
Bust probability23%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #72CHIY1 5.3
41
Nick VigilPre-Combine

Nick Vigil

Day 2ILB·Utah St.·22.7 yrs·$5M⚠ barely scouted↑ 63 vs consensus

What the model likes: charting coverage grade career avg; the knocks: charting total career snaps, boards with him top-100. Bust risk moderate (35%).

Bust probability35%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #87CINY1 1.7
42
Vernon ButlerPre-Combine

Vernon Butler

Day 2DT·Louisiana Tech·6'4", 323 lb·21.9 yrs·$10M($1M–$20M)·405.33

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting run def grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 16%(tails only)
Bust probability29%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #30CARY1 5.1
43
Andrew BillingsPre-Combine

Andrew Billings

Day 2blend#43$3MDT·Baylor·6'1", 311 lb·21.1 yrs·$7M($0M–$16M)·405.05↓ 21 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting run def grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Bust probability26%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #122CIN
44
Justin SimmonsPre-Combine

Justin Simmons

Day 2S·Boston Col.·6'2", 202 lb·22.4 yrs·$17M($10M–$24M)·404.61↑ 121 vs consensus

What the model likes: charting coverage grade career avg, charting run def grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookBust 15%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #98DENY1 3.2
45
Devontae BookerPre-Combine

Devontae Booker

Day 2RB·Utah·5'11", 219 lb·23.9 yrs·$5M($0M–$11M)·404.56↑ 53 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, production trajectory; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Bust probability· low confidence19%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #136DENY1 17.5
46
Germain IfediPre-Combine

Germain Ifedi

Day 2G·Texas A&M·$17M($9M–$25M)↑ 12 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 19%(tails only)
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #31SEA
47
Joshua PerryPre-Combine

Joshua Perry

Day 2ILB·Ohio St.·6'4", 254 lb·22.0 yrs·$7M·404.68↑ 15 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting coverage grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookBust 19%(tails only)
Bust probability28%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #102SDGY1 1.6
48
C.J. ProsisePre-Combine

C.J. Prosise

Day 2blend#48$2MRB·Notre Dame·6'0", 220 lb·21.9 yrs·$4M($0M–$10M)·404.48↑ 71 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: production trajectory, charting total career snaps.

Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #90SEAY1 13.5
49
Jatavis BrownPre-Combine

Jatavis Brown

Day 2OLB·Akron·22.2 yrs·$7M↑ 93 vs consensus

What the model likes: age; the knocks: charting total career snaps, boards with him top-100. Bust risk moderate (36%).

Bust probability36%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #175SDGY1 5.7
50
Max TuerkPre-Combine

Max Tuerk

Day 2C·USC·6'5", 298 lb·$7M($0M–$15M)·405.12↑ 107 vs consensus

What the model likes: age; the knocks: charting total career snaps, boards with him top-100.

Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #66SDG
51
Deiondre' Hall

Deiondre' Hall

Day 2CB·Northern Iowa·6'2", 199 lb·21.9 yrs·$5M($0M–$12M)·404.68⚠ barely scouted↑ 40 vs consensus

What the model likes: age, athleticism (combine); the knock: boards with him top-100. Bust risk moderate (43%).

Bust probability· low confidence43%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #127CHIY1 3.4
52
Christian WestermanPre-Combine

Christian Westerman

Day 2G·Arizona St.·$7M($0M–$15M)↑ 41 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #161CIN
53
Maliek CollinsPre-Combine

Maliek Collins

Day 2DT·Nebraska·6'2", 311 lb·21.1 yrs·$12M($2M–$21M)·405.03↑ 83 vs consensus

What the model likes: charting run def grade career avg; the knocks: charting total career snaps, charting yards per coverage snap career avg.

Bust probability30%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #67DALY1 5.5
54
Javon HargravePre-Combine

Javon Hargrave

Day 2DT·South Carolina St.·23.2 yrs·$20M($11M–$29M)↑ 24 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, HS recruit rating; the knock: age.

Bust probability16%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #89PITY1 5.4
55
Derrick HenryPre-Combine

Derrick Henry

Day 2blend#55$2MRB·Alabama·6'3", 247 lb·22.3 yrs·$23M($17M–$29M)·404.54

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: production trajectory, charting total career snaps.

Bust probability· low confidence15%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #45TENY1 16.6
56
Vonn BellPre-Combine

Vonn Bell

Day 2S·Ohio St.·5'11", 199 lb·21.4 yrs·$10M($3M–$17M)·404.52

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting coverage grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #61NORY1 4.9
57
Darron LeePre-Combine

Darron Lee

Day 2blend#57$2MOLB·Ohio St.·6'1", 232 lb·21.5 yrs·$8M·404.47↓ 36 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (combine); the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookBust 22%(tails only)
Bust probability16%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #20NYJY1 5.0
58
Keanu NealPre-Combine

Keanu Neal

Day 2S·Florida·6'0", 211 lb·20.8 yrs·$10M($4M–$17M)·404.62↑ 37 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting: pass-rush productivity (true pass sets), career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 23%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence7%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #17ATLY1 5.7
59
Graham GlasgowPre-Combine

Graham Glasgow

Day 2C·Michigan·6'6", 307 lb·$14M($5M–$22M)·405.13⚠ barely scouted↑ 81 vs consensus

What the model likes: age; the knocks: charting total career snaps, boards with him top-100.

Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #95DET
60
Joe SchobertPre-Combine

Joe Schobert

Day 2OLB·Wisconsin·6'1", 244 lb·22.5 yrs·$9M·404.76↑ 112 vs consensus

What the model likes: age; the knocks: charting total career snaps, boards with him top-100. Bust risk moderate (36%).

Career outlookBust 19%(tails only)
Bust probability36%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #99CLEY1 2.9
61
Alex CollinsPre-Combine

Alex Collins

Day 2blend#61$2MRB·Arkansas·5'10", 217 lb·21.7 yrs·$4M($0M–$10M)·404.59↑ 40 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: charting total career snaps, athleticism (combine). Bust risk moderate (38%).

Bust probability· low confidence38%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #171SEAY1 11.7
62
Karl JosephPre-Combine

Karl Joseph

Day 2S·West Virginia·5'10", 205 lb·22.6 yrs·$3M($0M–$10M)·404.57

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting coverage grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookBust 20%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #14OAKY1 5.7
63
Sterling ShepardPre-Combine

Sterling Shepard

Day 2blend#63$2MWR·Oklahoma·5'10", 194 lb·23.2 yrs·$22M($16M–$28M)·404.48↓ 20 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: charting total career snaps, age.

Career outlookBust 13%(tails only)
Bust probability10%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #40NYGY1 17.6
64
Paul PerkinsPre-Combine

Paul Perkins

Day 2blend#64$2MRB·UCLA·5'10", 208 lb·21.4 yrs·$3M($0M–$9M)·404.54↑ 50 vs consensus

What the model likes: charting rush grade, lowest board ranking; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Bust probability· low confidence5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #149NYGY1 11.6