On the live board, bust risk sits at 31% and the realistic range is No. 94 to No. 251.
The model graded Colin Holba at pick #94; he was actually picked #213 by PIT.
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
We had him No. 94 on draft night; PIT didn't call his name until No. 213 — a 119-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics had Colin Holba at #94 on draft night — a Day 2 grade — and PIT took him at No. 213, 119 picks later than our grade. Bust risk projects at 31%, near the position baseline.
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Historical players this prospect resembles
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 3, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Too early to project a career arc.
No public board has ranked this prospect and the model has no production, athletic, or NFL data to anchor on — any percentages here would be noise dressed up as precision. The outlook fills in once boards rank him or real numbers land.
No public-board coverage yet.
Highlight reels indexed from YouTube. Loads only when you press play.
Working in his favor: age, hS recruit rating, and his charted total career snaps. Nothing in the profile pulled the grade down.
The grade is the 0-to-1 score the board sorts by — it only means something next to the rest of this class, which is why the rank above it is the number to quote.
Not enough to go on yet — no public board ranks him and there's no production or testing data to anchor a career projection.
Everything that could go wrong with Colin Holba, gathered in one place — the most serious flags listed first.
Named, concrete signals — every flag cites numbers, comp players, or schedule context.
Roster-based need returns once the 2016 season is played — grading this year’s teams on last year’s depth chart would be guessing. What’s knowable now: the teams holding picks around No. 94, and which of them already spent premium capital at Specialists in the 2016 draft.
Gold means no recent premium investment at Specialists — the cleaner fit on paper. Grey means they already spent one.