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2017 NFL Draft prospect
Jordan Morgan
On the live board, bust risk sits at 7% and the realistic range is No. 112 to No. 272.
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Jordan Morgan at pick #142; he was actually picked #147 by CHI. Model expects a second-deal AAV around $8M/yr.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Low conviction#142G·Kutztown (PA)
We had him No. 142 on draft night, and the league mostly agreed — CHI took him at No. 147. The seasons since are the scoreboard.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Jordan Morgan at #142 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and CHI took him at No. 147. Bust risk projects at 7%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk2
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports