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Draftanomics

2020 NFL Draft order

Every pick, every round, with the team currently projected to hold it. 253 picks across seven rounds; compensatory picks land in the spring and reshape the back half of the order. Until the season sorts it out, the order is projected from reverse standings — the how is in themethodology — and actual trades replace projections as they're reported.

Pick odds

Draft-slot odds · through week 17

Final 2019 standings — residual spread is record-tie uncertainty only.
TeamRecordExp. slotNo. 1Top 3Top 10
CIN2–141.0>99%>99%>99%
WAS3–132.00%>99%>99%
DET3½–123.00%>99%>99%
NYG4–124.00%0%>99%
CAR5–116.00%0%>99%
LAC5–116.00%0%>99%
MIA5–116.00%0%>99%
ARI5½–108.00%0%>99%
CLE6–109.50%0%>99%
JAX6–109.50%0%>99%
ATL7–913.50%0%0%
DEN7–913.50%0%0%
IND7–913.50%0%0%
NYJ7–913.50%0%0%
OAK7–913.50%0%0%
TB7–913.50%0%0%

Top 16 by expected slot shown — the tanking conversation, not the contenders.

Probabilities come from simulating the rest of the 2019 season thousands of times, with early records shrunk toward .500 exactly as much as 16 seasons of history say they should be. We graded the method against each of those seasons before trusting it; the forecast sharpens as the season goes because history shows it has earned that confidence.

Year20272026202520242023202220212020|RoundAllR1R2R3R4R5R6R7
DivisionallAFC EastAFC NorthAFC SouthAFC WestNFC EastNFC NorthNFC SouthNFC West
#Round · slotTeamSource
182R6 · 22NENew England Patriotsactual
185R6 · 25MIAMiami Dolphinsactual
188R6 · 28BUFBuffalo Billsactual
191R6 · 31NYJNew York Jetsactual
195R6 · 3NENew England Patriotsactual
204R6 · 12NENew England Patriotsactual
207R6 · 15BUFBuffalo Billsactual