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Draftanomics

2020 NFL Draft order

Every pick, every round, with the team currently projected to hold it. 253 picks across seven rounds; compensatory picks land in the spring and reshape the back half of the order. Until the season sorts it out, the order is projected from reverse standings — the how is in themethodology — and actual trades replace projections as they're reported.

Pick odds

Draft-slot odds · through week 17

Final 2019 standings — residual spread is record-tie uncertainty only.
TeamRecordExp. slotNo. 1Top 3Top 10
CIN2–141.0>99%>99%>99%
WAS3–132.00%>99%>99%
DET3½–123.00%>99%>99%
NYG4–124.00%0%>99%
CAR5–116.00%0%>99%
LAC5–116.00%0%>99%
MIA5–116.00%0%>99%
ARI5½–108.00%0%>99%
CLE6–109.50%0%>99%
JAX6–109.50%0%>99%
ATL7–913.50%0%0%
DEN7–913.50%0%0%
IND7–913.50%0%0%
NYJ7–913.50%0%0%
OAK7–913.50%0%0%
TB7–913.50%0%0%

Top 16 by expected slot shown — the tanking conversation, not the contenders.

Probabilities come from simulating the rest of the 2019 season thousands of times, with early records shrunk toward .500 exactly as much as 16 seasons of history say they should be. We graded the method against each of those seasons before trusting it; the forecast sharpens as the season goes because history shows it has earned that confidence.

Year20272026202520242023202220212020|RoundAllR1R2R3R4R5R6R7
DivisionallAFC EastAFC NorthAFC SouthAFC WestNFC EastNFC NorthNFC SouthNFC West
#Round · slotTeamSource
192R6 · 32GBGreen Bay Packersactual
197R6 · 5DETDetroit Lionsactual
203R6 · 11MINMinnesota Vikingsactual
205R6 · 13MINMinnesota Vikingsactual
208R6 · 16GBGreen Bay Packersactual
209R6 · 17GBGreen Bay Packersactual