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RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
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← Draftanomics
Past class — locked, then graded

2020 NFL Draft

A past class. The model never saw these players when it learned — this board is what Draftanomics would have said on draft night, graded against how the careers actually played out.

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Top 64 of 253 prospects in this draft class
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64 of 64 prospects shown · ranked by the career-value model

Blue Chip

6 prospects · picks #1–#6

Day-1 starter ceiling. The class's franchise pieces.

1
Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow

Blue Chiprank#1QB·LSU·6'3", 221 lb·23.4 yrs·—·RAS5.50

Blue-chip QB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting pass grade max.

Career outlookElite 63%
Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #1CINY1 12.5
2
CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb

Blue Chiprank#2$11.7MWR·Oklahoma·6'2", 198 lb·21.0 yrs·$32.9M($26.9M–$38.9M)·RAS5.31

Blue-chip WR ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 60%
Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #17DALY1 15.4
3
Chase Young

Chase Young

Blue Chiprank#3$10.5MEDGE·Ohio St.·21.0 yrs·$16.2M($6.9M–$25.6M)·RAS5.53

Blue-chip EDGE ceiling. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 56%
Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #2WASY1 11.9
4
Jedrick Wills Jr.

Jedrick Wills Jr.

Blue Chiprank#4$9.6MOT·Alabama·$14.7M($6.4M–$22.9M)·RAS6.10· explosion-driven

Blue-chip OT ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 40%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #10CLEY1 12.4
5
Tristan Wirfs

Tristan Wirfs

Blue Chiprank#5$8.7MOT·Iowa·$30.7M($22.4M–$38.9M)·RAS7.59· explosion-driven

Blue-chip OT ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 66%
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #13TAMY1 15.9
6
Derrick Brown

Derrick Brown

Blue Chiprank#6$8.2MDT·Auburn·22.0 yrs·$26.8M($17.4M–$36.1M)·RAS4.47· size-driven

Blue-chip DT ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 43%
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #7CARY1 8.8

1st Round

26 prospects · picks #7–#32

Year-1 starter probability. First-round capital.

7
Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Clyde Edwards-Helaire

1st Roundrank#7$7.7MRB·LSU·5'7", 207 lb·21.0 yrs·$7.7M($1.6M–$13.7M)·RAS4.51· explosion-driven↑ 34 vs consensus

First-round RB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting blitz btt rate career avg, SOS-weighted production.

Bust probability· low confidence18%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Schedule-adjusted production · HS recruit rating · College production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #32KANY1 14.6
8
Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa

1st Roundrank#8QB·Alabama·6'0", 217 lb·22.1 yrs·—·RAS1.58

First-round QB profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, charting pass grade max.

Career outlookElite 53%
Bust probability· low confidence19%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · College production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #5MIAY1 9.6
9
Laviska Shenault Jr.

Laviska Shenault Jr.

1st Roundrank#9$6.9MWR·Colorado·6'1", 227 lb·21.6 yrs·$6.9M($0.9M–$12.9M)·RAS4.64· size-driven↑ 23 vs consensus

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting: yards per route run from the slot, career avg, HS recruit rating.

Bust probability9%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: HS recruit rating · Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #42JAXY1 14.1
10
Isaiah Simmons

Isaiah Simmons

1st Roundrank#10$6.7MLB·Clemson·6'4", 238 lb·21.7 yrs·$7.9M($0M–$17.2M)·RAS8.57· speed-driven

First-round LB profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 51%
Bust probability1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #8ARIY1 4.4
11
J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins

1st Roundrank#11$6.4MRB·Ohio St.·21.4 yrs·$8.3M($2.2M–$14.3M)·RAS2.93↑ 25 vs consensus

First-round RB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 20%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence15%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · Schedule-adjusted production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #55BALY1 14.1
12
Andrew Thomas

Andrew Thomas

1st Roundrank#12$6.1MOT·Georgia·$27.8M($19.6M–$36.1M)·RAS6.32

First-round OT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 48%
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #4NYGY1 11.5
13
Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor

1st Roundrank#13$5.8MRB·Wisconsin·5'10", 226 lb·21.3 yrs·$17.3M($11.3M–$23.3M)·RAS7.14· speed-driven↑ 17 vs consensus

First-round RB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting elusive; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 70%
Bust probability· low confidence15%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: College production · Athleticism · RAS × production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #41INDY1 15.0
14
Cam Akers

Cam Akers

1st Roundrank#14$5.5MRB·Florida St.·20.8 yrs·$5.5M($0M–$11.5M)·RAS5.32· speed-driven↑ 37 vs consensus

First-round RB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting pass grade max, charting blitz btt rate career avg.

Bust probability· low confidence15%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #52LARY1 11.0
15
Tyler Biadasz

Tyler Biadasz

1st RoundC·Wisconsin·$18M($9.8M–$26.3M)·RAS7.81↑ 126 vs consensus

First-round C profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, age, athleticism (RAS).

Career outlookElite 68%
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Age · Athleticism · Production trajectory — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #146DALY1 4.7
16
Jeff Okudah

Jeff Okudah

1st Roundrank#16$4.9MCB·Ohio St.·21.2 yrs·$7.1M($0.3M–$13.9M)·RAS8.04· explosion-driven↓ 13 vs consensus

First-round CB profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, number of boards ranking him.

Career outlookElite 47%
Bust probability· low confidence14%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #3DETY1 4.6
17
Mekhi Becton

Mekhi Becton

1st Roundrank#17$4.7MOT·Louisville·$12.8M($4.6M–$21.1M)·RAS8.83

First-round OT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 28%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #11NYJY1 9.2
18
Javon Kinlaw

Javon Kinlaw

1st Roundrank#18$4.5MDT·South Carolina·22.6 yrs·$13.5M($4.2M–$22.9M)·RAS9.32

First-round DT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, athleticism (RAS).

Career outlookElite 31%(tails only)
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #14SFOY1 6.0
19
Kenneth Murray

Kenneth Murray

1st Roundrank#19$4.3MLB·Oklahoma·6'2", 241 lb·21.4 yrs·$17M($7.7M–$26.3M)·RAS8.39

First-round LB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, athleticism (RAS).

Career outlookElite 72%
Bust probability10%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #23LACY1 10.7
20
Henry Ruggs III

Henry Ruggs III

1st Roundrank#20$4.1MWR·Alabama·5'11", 188 lb·21.3 yrs·$5.3M($0M–$11.3M)·RAS7.10· speed-driven

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 34%(tails only)
Bust probability1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #12LVRY1 10.9
21
Josh Jones

Josh Jones

1st Roundrank#21$4MOT·Houston·$4M($0M–$12.3M)·RAS5.10

First-round OT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting gap run block grade.

Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #72ARIY1 7.4
22
Michael Pittman Jr.

Michael Pittman Jr.

1st Roundrank#22$4MWR·USC·6'4", 223 lb·22.6 yrs·$24.8M($18.8M–$30.8M)·RAS6.26· size-driven↑ 26 vs consensus

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting: yards per route run from the slot, career avg; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 61%
Bust probability9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #34INDY1 12.5
23
Cesar Ruiz

Cesar Ruiz

1st Roundrank#23$3.9MC·Michigan·$15M($6.8M–$23.3M)·RAS6.79· explosion-driven

First-round C profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 34%(tails only)
Bust probability2%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #24NORY1 9.6
24
Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy

1st Roundrank#24$3.9MWR·Alabama·6'1", 193 lb·21.0 yrs·$25.7M($19.7M–$31.8M)·RAS3.87· speed-driven↓ 17 vs consensus

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 37%(tails only)
Bust probability1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #15DENY1 15.1
25
K'Lavon Chaisson

K'Lavon Chaisson

1st Roundrank#25$3.8MEDGE·LSU·20.8 yrs·$8.8M($0M–$18.1M)·RAS1.76

First-round EDGE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, HS recruit rating.

Bust probability12%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #20JAXY1 6.0
26
Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson

1st Roundrank#26$3.7MWR·LSU·6'1", 202 lb·20.9 yrs·$39.5M($33.5M–$45.6M)·RAS7.03

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 65%
Bust probability1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #22MINY1 16.6
27
Xavier McKinney

Xavier McKinney

1st Roundrank#27$3.7MS·Alabama·6'0", 201 lb·20.7 yrs·$18.6M($11.8M–$25.4M)·RAS3.94· explosion-driven

First-round S profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting catch rate allowed avg.

Career outlookElite 50%
Bust probability· low confidence<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #36NYGY1 2.7
28
D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift

1st Roundrank#28$3.6MRB·Georgia·5'8", 212 lb·21.3 yrs·$9.7M($3.6M–$15.7M)·RAS5.48· speed-driven

First-round RB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting blitz btt rate career avg.

Career outlookElite 25%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #35DETY1 13.8
29
Lloyd Cushenberry III

Lloyd Cushenberry III

1st Roundrank#29$3.6MC·LSU·$13.7M($5.5M–$22M)·RAS5.72· size-driven↑ 17 vs consensus

First-round C profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, age.

Career outlookElite 29%(tails only)
Bust probability5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #83DENY1 10.4
30
Patrick Queen

Patrick Queen

1st Roundrank#30$3.5MLB·LSU·6'0", 229 lb·20.7 yrs·$16.8M($7.4M–$26.1M)·RAS5.89· speed-driven

First-round LB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 77%
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #28BALY1 8.0
31
Austin Jackson

Austin Jackson

1st Roundrank#31$3.5MOT·USC·$13.5M($5.3M–$21.8M)·RAS7.30· explosion-driven↑ 19 vs consensus

First-round OT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, number of boards ranking him, athleticism (RAS).

Career outlookElite 33%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #18MIAY1 9.2
32
Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk

1st Roundrank#32$3.4MWR·Arizona St.·22.1 yrs·$30.4M($24.4M–$36.4M)·RAS6.22· explosion-driven

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting: yards per route run from the slot, career avg, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 65%
Bust probability4%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #25SFOY1 15.0

Day 2

32 prospects · picks #33–#64

Year-1 contributor, year-3 starter timeline. Round 2-3 value.

33
Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert

Day 2rank#33QB·Oregon·6'6", 236 lb·22.1 yrs·—·RAS7.70· size-driven↓ 16 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting pass grade max.

Career outlookElite 71%
Bust probability· low confidence13%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #6LACY1 17.8
34
Ezra Cleveland

Ezra Cleveland

Day 2rank#34$3.3MOT·Boise St.·$15.1M($6.8M–$23.3M)·RAS7.94· speed-driven↑ 24 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS), age.

Career outlookElite 28%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #58MINY1 7.5
35
Damien Lewis

Damien Lewis

Day 2G·LSU·$21.2M($13M–$29.5M)·RAS6.18· explosion-driven↑ 124 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, age, charting pass-block efficiency career avg.

Career outlookElite 49%
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #69SEAY1 13.0
36
Matt Hennessy

Matt Hennessy

Day 2C·Temple·$3.1M($0M–$11.4M)·RAS6.77↑ 40 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, age, charting gap run block grade.

Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #78ATLY1 2.3
37
Zack Moss

Zack Moss

Day 2RB·Utah·5'9", 223 lb·22.4 yrs·$4.7M($0M–$10.7M)·RAS3.06· size-driven↑ 89 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting elusive; the knock: charting slot route grade.

Bust probability· low confidence19%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #86BUFY1 11.7
38
Jeremy Chinn

Jeremy Chinn

Day 2S·Southern Illinois·6'3", 221 lb·22.1 yrs·$7.4M($0.6M–$14.2M)·RAS9.25

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS), HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 62%
Bust probability· low confidence<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #64CARY1 11.2
39
Isaiah Wilson

Isaiah Wilson

Day 2OT·Georgia·$3.5M($0M–$11.8M)·RAS4.87· size-driven↑ 25 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, HS recruit rating, charting gap run block grade.

Bust probability· low confidence7%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #29TENY1 0.0
40
Matt Peart

Matt Peart

Day 2OT·Connecticut·$3.4M($0M–$11.6M)·RAS6.43· speed-driven↑ 69 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, age, charting gap run block grade.

Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #99NYGY1 1.9
41
C.J. Henderson

C.J. Henderson

Day 2rank#41$2.8MCB·Florida·6'1", 204 lb·21.6 yrs·$2.8M($0M–$9.6M)·RAS8.08↓ 25 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting missed tackle rate.

Bust probability· low confidence4%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #9JAXY1 5.4
42
Bryce Hall

Bryce Hall

Day 2CB·Virginia·6'1", 202 lb·22.5 yrs·$7.4M($0.6M–$14.2M)·RAS8.73↑ 29 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS), age.

Career outlookElite 25%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence28%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #158NYJY1 6.4
43
Jalen Reagor

Jalen Reagor

Day 2rank#43$2.7MWR·TCU·5'11", 206 lb·21.3 yrs·$4.8M($0M–$10.8M)·RAS5.22· explosion-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, number of boards ranking him, boards with him top-50.

Bust probability12%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #21PHIY1 10.1
44
Zack Baun

Zack Baun

Day 2rank#44$2.6MLB·Wisconsin·6'2", 238 lb·23.3 yrs·$12.3M($3M–$21.6M)·RAS4.13· size-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: age, charting yards per coverage snap career avg.

Bust probability1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #74NORY1 1.3
45
Braden Mann

Braden Mann

Day 2P·Texas A&M·5'11", 198 lb·22.4 yrs·$3.6M($0.8M–$6.5M)·RAS4.25· speed-driven⚠ barely scouted

What the model likes: age, athleticism (RAS), charting total career snaps.

Bust probability29%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #191NYJY1 0.0
46
Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins

Day 2rank#46$2.5MWR·Clemson·6'4", 216 lb·21.3 yrs·$28M($22M–$34M)·RAS2.76· size-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting: yards per route run from the slot, career avg; the knock: charting: deep-route grade, final season.

Career outlookElite 52%
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #33CINY1 15.7
47
Noah Igbinoghene

Noah Igbinoghene

Day 2rank#47$2.4MCB·Auburn·5'10", 198 lb·20.4 yrs·$3.9M($0M–$10.7M)·RAS5.28· explosion-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting: yards per route run from the slot, career avg; the knock: charting catch rate allowed avg.

Bust probability· low confidence26%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #30MIAY1 2.7
48
Netane Muti

Netane Muti

Day 2G·Fresno St.·$2.3M($0M–$10.6M)·RAS3.26↑ 62 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting pass-block efficiency career avg, age.

Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #181DENY1 1.1
49
Robert Hunt

Robert Hunt

Day 2G·Louisiana·$22.9M($14.6M–$31.1M)·RAS8.39↑ 23 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS), age.

Career outlookElite 33%(tails only)
Bust probability5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #39MIAY1 9.0
50
Kristian Fulton

Kristian Fulton

Day 2rank#50$2.2MCB·LSU·6'0", 197 lb·21.6 yrs·$11M($4.2M–$17.8M)·RAS5.02· size-driven↓ 25 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: HS recruit rating, charting catch rate allowed avg.

Career outlookElite 22%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence4%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #61TENY1 2.3
51
Jordyn Brooks

Jordyn Brooks

Day 2LB·Texas Tech·6'0", 240 lb·22.5 yrs·$12.8M($3.4M–$22.1M)·RAS5.87· speed-driven↑ 37 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, HS recruit rating; the knock: scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 65%
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #27SEAY1 4.3
52
Jeff Gladney

Jeff Gladney

Day 2rank#52$2.1MCB·TCU·5'10", 191 lb·23.4 yrs·$3.7M($0M–$10.5M)·RAS4.07· explosion-driven↓ 23 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting catch rate allowed avg.

Bust probability· low confidence11%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #31MINY1 10.1
53
Grant Delpit

Grant Delpit

Day 2rank#53$2.1MS·LSU·6'2", 213 lb·21.6 yrs·$13.9M($7.1M–$20.7M)·RAS8.33↓ 27 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS); the knock: charting missed tackle rate.

Career outlookElite 32%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #44CLE
54
Nick Harris

Nick Harris

Day 2C·Washington·$3.5M($0M–$11.8M)·RAS5.46· speed-driven↑ 111 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, age; the knock: scout consensus.

Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #160CLEY1 1.6
55
Ben Bartch

Ben Bartch

Day 2G·Saint John's (MN)·$4M($0M–$12.2M)·RAS6.32↑ 103 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, age, HS recruit rating.

Bust probability4%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #116JAXY1 2.5
56
Raekwon Davis

Raekwon Davis

Day 2DT·Alabama·22.9 yrs·$7.5M($0M–$16.9M)·RAS4.65· size-driven↑ 39 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting run def grade career avg; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Bust probability11%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #56MIAY1 6.9
57
Denzel Mims

Denzel Mims

Day 2rank#57$1.9MWR·Baylor·6'3", 207 lb·22.5 yrs·$3.2M($0M–$9.3M)·RAS7.48· speed-driven↓ 23 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, number of boards ranking him.

Bust probability12%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #59NYJY1 8.0
58
Antoine Winfield Jr.

Antoine Winfield Jr.

Day 2rank#58$1.9MS·Minnesota·5'9", 203 lb·21.7 yrs·$22.2M($15.4M–$29M)·RAS5.55· speed-driven↓ 27 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, number of boards ranking him; the knock: charting pressures per rush career x.

Career outlookElite 73%
Bust probability· low confidence7%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #45TAMY1 14.0
59
A.J. Epenesa

A.J. Epenesa

Day 2rank#59$1.9MEDGE·Iowa·21.6 yrs·$8M($0M–$17.3M)·RAS4.38· size-driven↓ 35 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg, position role purity.

Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #54BUFY1 4.3
60
Gabe Davis

Gabe Davis

Day 2rank#60$1.8MWR·Central Florida·21.1 yrs·$11.3M($5.3M–$17.3M)↑ 51 vs consensus

What the model likes: charting: yards per route run from the slot, career avg, HS recruit rating, age.

Bust probability9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #128BUFY1 15.4
61
Jaylon Johnson

Jaylon Johnson

Day 2rank#61$1.8MCB·Utah·6'0", 193 lb·21.0 yrs·$23.6M($16.8M–$30.4M)·RAS5.12↓ 18 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: charting catch rate allowed avg, charting pressures per rush career x.

Career outlookElite 58%
Bust probability· low confidence11%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #50CHIY1 9.6
62
Kevin Dotson

Kevin Dotson

Day 2G·Louisiana·$12.8M($4.6M–$21.1M)⚠ barely scouted↑ 22 vs consensus

What the model likes: age, charting gap run block grade; the knock: boards with him top-100.

Career outlookElite 22%(tails only)
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #135PITY1 4.5
63
Willie Gay Jr.

Willie Gay Jr.

Day 2LB·Mississippi St.·22.2 yrs·$6M($0M–$15.4M)·RAS7.34· explosion-driven↑ 61 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, age; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 31%(tails only)
Bust probability22%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #63KANY1 3.4
64
Kamal Martin

Kamal Martin

Day 2LB·Minnesota·6'3", 240 lb·21.9 yrs·$4M($0M–$13.4M)·RAS7.95⚠ barely scouted

What the model likes: age, athleticism (RAS). Bust risk moderate (40%).

Bust probability40%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #175GNBY1 2.6
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