Refreshed just now
2024 NFL Draft prospect
Qwan'tez Stiggers
CB
age 22.3
On the live board, bust risk sits at 39% and the realistic range is No. 42 to No. 219.
rank#98$1.3M
Limited public-board coverage (1 board) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Qwan'tez Stiggers at pick #98; he was actually picked #176 by NYJ. 2 NFL seasons in, he's barely gotten on the field (grading -1.3 of 20 per season). So far, the league's caution is winning the argument. The 4-tier model leans toward the bust tier as the most likely outcome; elite upside is only 7%. NFL grades have been modest so far (0% recent-3, 0% peak across 1 seasons).
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Speculative#98CB
We had him No. 98 on draft night; NYJ didn't call his name until No. 176 — a 78-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Qwan'tez Stiggers at #98 on draft night — a Day 2 grade — and NYJ took him at No. 176, 78 picks later than our grade. The model's case leans on his age curve. Bust risk projects at 39%, near the position baseline. The room had him #164 pre-draft; our board was 66 spots higher.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production1
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk2
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports