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2024 NFL Draft prospect
Daequan Hardy
age 22.9 · 5'9" · 179 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 40% and the realistic range is No. 45 to No. 229.
rank#186$1MCompDavid Long
Big Ten→ BUF's 2024 class
Limited public-board coverage (1 board) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Daequan Hardy at pick #186; he was actually picked #219 by BUF. The 4-tier model has him as a likely starter. Model predicted $8M/yr; actual $1M (over by $7M).
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Medium conviction#186CB·Penn St.
We had him No. 186 on draft night; BUF didn't call his name until No. 219 — a 33-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk4
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps5
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports