The Accountability Index
Every April, everyone's a draft expert. This page keeps score: each analyst's archived pre-draft board, graded against what their ranked players actually became in the NFL — the same standard our own model answers to, and the same one your locked board will.
The ruler: we grade each archived board against what its players actually became across their first four NFL seasons — the rookie deal — position-fairly, so a hit on a guard counts like a hit on a receiver. Analysts need at least two graded classes to be ranked; newer classes slide in as their fourth NFL season completes.
This is the same table, same data, same order as the analyst leaderboard — the canonical version, with filters, team blogs and every analyst's full receipt page. Kiper, Brugler, McShay and the PFF board aren't rankable yet; the leaderboard discloses why.
How to read this honestly
These are archived public boards — no cherry-picking, no retroactive edits. Foresight measures whether an analyst's ordering predicted rookie-deal value, position-fairly (a hit on a guard counts like a hit on a receiver); it's a rank correlation, where 0 is a coin flip and +0.3 is genuinely strong. Two classes is the minimum to appear; small samples still carry real luck, which is why the class count sits next to every number. Others have graded analysts against outcomes before in one-off studies — this index's job is to do it continuously, on a public ruler, every cycle.
Our own model answers to a harder version of the same question — full-career value across 2017–2024 — on the track record page. Nobody gets to grade the industry without grading themselves first.