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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
ER
Eric Rowe
CB · Utah
22.6 yo · 6'1" · 205 lb
TM
Tevin Mitchel
CB · Arkansas
22.7 yo · — · —
CG
Charles Gaines
CB · Louisville
22.6 yo · 5'10" · 180 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Eric Rowe
Predicted pick
#117
range #87–#247
Bust probability· rough estimate
9%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$11Mmodel
Tevin Mitchel
Predicted pick
#72
range #72–#229
Bust probability· rough estimate
44%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
Charles Gaines
Predicted pick
#143
range #113–#273
Bust probability· rough estimate
28%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Eric Rowe· CB / S
  • Tevin Mitchel· CB / S
  • Charles Gaines· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionEric Rowe50
  • AthleticismEric Rowe42
  • AgeTevin Mitchel88
  • ConsensusTevin Mitchel66
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Eric Rowe50
  • Breakout ageEric Rowe50
  • WorkloadEric Rowe50
  • RAS × productionTevin Mitchel100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Eric Rowe
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Tevin Mitchel
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Charles Gaines
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Eric Rowe
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Tevin Mitchel
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Charles Gaines
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Eric RoweTevin MitchelCharles Gaines· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Eric Rowe

−0.06 boards with him top-100; +0.03 charting total career snaps; −0.02 HS recruit rating

Tevin Mitchel

−0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.03 charting total career snaps; −0.03 HS recruit rating

Charles Gaines

−0.06 boards with him top-100; +0.02 charting total career snaps; −0.02 scout consensus