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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (TE)
MP
MyCole Pruitt
TE · Southern Illinois
23.1 yo · 6'2" · 251 lb
MW
Maxx Williams
TE · Minnesota
21.0 yo · 6'4" · 249 lb
TK
Tyler Kroft
TE · Rutgers
22.5 yo · 6'5" · 246 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

MyCole Pruitt
Predicted pick
#235
range #233–#237
Bust probability
6%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Maxx Williams
Predicted pick
#73
range #71–#75
Bust probability
6%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Tyler Kroft
Predicted pick
#36
range #34–#38
Bust probability
5%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$9Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • MyCole Pruitt· RB / WR / TE
  • Maxx Williams· RB / WR / TE
  • Tyler Kroft· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionTyler Kroft84
  • AthleticismMyCole Pruitt40
  • AgeMaxx Williams94
  • ConsensusMyCole Pruitt67
  • Per-play impact (PPA)MyCole Pruitt50
  • Breakout ageMyCole Pruitt50
  • WorkloadMaxx Williams100
  • RAS × productionMyCole Pruitt0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
MyCole Pruitt
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Maxx Williams
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Tyler Kroft
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

MyCole Pruitt
Risks
  • Older prospect
    Age 23.1 at draft. Slightly older than the cohort median (~22.5); upside ceiling is trimmed.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Maxx Williams
Risks
  • TE slow 40 (4.78s)
    40-yard dash of 4.78s — below-average separation speed for the position.
  • Not on any consensus board
    Model has him at pick #73 but ZERO public big boards have him on their list. Either we're seeing something nobody else does, or the model is hallucinating.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Tyler Kroft
Risks
  • TE slow 40 (4.75s)
    40-yard dash of 4.75s — below-average separation speed for the position.
  • Not on any consensus board
    Model has him at pick #36 but ZERO public big boards have him on their list. Either we're seeing something nobody else does, or the model is hallucinating.
  • Below-cohort college production
    Position-cohort z-score on production composite is -1.08 — well below the skill average. Raw box-score output didn't keep pace with peers.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
MyCole PruittMaxx WilliamsTyler Kroft· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

MyCole Pruitt

Draftanomics projects MyCole Pruitt (age 23.1 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #235 (range #233-#237, tight projection). Bust probability sits at 6% — low. Age 23.1 at draft. Slightly older than the cohort median (~22.5); upside ceiling is trimmed. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #235 stands alone — and with bust risk at 6%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.

Maxx Williams

Draftanomics projects Maxx Williams (age 21.0 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #73 (range #71-#75, tight projection). Bust probability sits at 6% — low. 40-yard dash of 4.78s — below-average separation speed for the position. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #73 stands alone — and with bust risk at 6%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.

Tyler Kroft

Draftanomics projects Tyler Kroft (age 22.5 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #36 (range #34-#38, tight projection). Bust probability sits at 5% — low. 40-yard dash of 4.75s — below-average separation speed for the position. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #36 stands alone — and with bust risk at 5%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.