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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (G, CB, OT)
JH
Jarvis Harrison
G · Texas A&M
— · 6'4" · 330 lb
BM
Bobby McCain
CB · Memphis
21.7 yo · 5'9" · 195 lb
TS
Ty Sambrailo
OT · Colorado St.
— · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Jarvis Harrison
Predicted pick
#56
range #125–#222
Bust probability
4%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$12Mmodel
Bobby McCain
Predicted pick
#113
range #83–#243
Bust probability· rough estimate
12%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$10Mmodel
Ty Sambrailo
Predicted pick
#159
range #102–#252
Bust probability· rough estimate
6%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Jarvis Harrison· Offensive line
  • Bobby McCain· CB / S
  • Ty Sambrailo· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJarvis Harrison50
  • AthleticismBobby McCain82
  • AgeBobby McCain100
  • ConsensusJarvis Harrison81
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Jarvis Harrison50
  • Breakout ageJarvis Harrison50
  • WorkloadJarvis Harrison50
  • RAS × productionBobby McCain100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Jarvis Harrison
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Bobby McCain
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Ty Sambrailo
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Jarvis Harrison
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Bobby McCain
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Ty Sambrailo
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Jarvis HarrisonBobby McCainTy Sambrailo· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Jarvis Harrison

−0.06 boards with him top-100; +0.02 charting total career snaps; +0.02 age

Bobby McCain

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.02 lowest board ranking; +0.02 age

Ty Sambrailo

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.02 lowest board ranking; +0.02 age