3 prospects · 2015 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Randall Evans (age 23.3 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #206 (range #192-#220, wide band). Bust probability sits at 42% — real but not disqualifying. Age 23.3 at draft. Slightly older than the cohort median (~22.5); upside ceiling is trimmed. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #206 stands alone — and with bust risk at 42%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Akeem King (age 22.6 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #192 (range #178-#206, wide band). Bust probability sits at 43% — real but not disqualifying. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #192 stands alone — and with bust risk at 43%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Trae Waynes (age 22.8 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #105 (range #95-#115, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #105 stands alone — and with bust risk at 0%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.