3 prospects · 2015 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Reshard Cliett (age 23.0 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #232 (range #218-#246, wide band). Bust probability sits at 25% — manageable. Drafted #211 by HOU in 2015 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #232 stands alone — and with bust risk at 25%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Max Valles (age 20.7 at draft) as a first-round pick at #26 (range #12-#40, wide band). Bust probability sits at 21% — manageable. Drafted #179 by OAK in 2015 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #26 stands alone — and with bust risk at 21%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Edmond Robinson (age 23.2 at draft) as a mid-round flyer at #168 (range #151-#185, wide band). Bust probability sits at 25% — manageable. Age 23.2 at draft. Slightly older than the cohort median (~22.5); upside ceiling is trimmed. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #168 stands alone — and with bust risk at 25%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.