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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (TE)
KB
Kennard Backman
TE · Ala-Birmingham
22.2 yo · — · —
JO
James O'Shaughnessy
TE · Illinois St.
23.3 yo · — · —
MJ
Malcolm Johnson
TE · Mississippi St.
22.7 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Kennard Backman
Predicted pick
#149
range #92–#242
Bust probability
27%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
James O'Shaughnessy
Predicted pick
#188
range #105–#239
Bust probability
27%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Malcolm Johnson
Predicted pick
#218
range #135–#269
Bust probability
41%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Kennard Backman· RB / WR / TE
  • James O'Shaughnessy· RB / WR / TE
  • Malcolm Johnson· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionKennard Backman97
  • AthleticismKennard Backman40
  • AgeKennard Backman95
  • ConsensusKennard Backman72
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Kennard Backman50
  • Breakout ageKennard Backman50
  • WorkloadKennard Backman100
  • RAS × productionKennard Backman0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Kennard Backman
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
James O'Shaughnessy
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Malcolm Johnson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Kennard Backman
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
James O'Shaughnessy
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Malcolm Johnson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Kennard BackmanJames O'ShaughnessyMalcolm Johnson· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Kennard Backman

−0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.03 college production; −0.02 lowest board ranking

James O'Shaughnessy

−0.06 boards with him top-100; +0.03 HS recruit rating; −0.03 age

Malcolm Johnson

−0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.02 college production