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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (EDGE)
RR
Ryan Russell
EDGE · Purdue
23.3 yo · 6'4" · 269 lb
CR
Christian Ringo
EDGE · Louisiana
23.1 yo · — · —
MH
Marcus Hardison
EDGE · Arizona St.
23.2 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Ryan Russell
Predicted pick
#161
range #104–#254
Bust probability
74%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$8Mmodel
Christian Ringo
Predicted pick
#238
range #101–#253
Bust probability
78%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
Marcus Hardison
Predicted pick
#183
range #126–#276
Bust probability
71%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Ryan Russell· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Christian Ringo· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Marcus Hardison· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionRyan Russell0
  • AthleticismRyan Russell69
  • AgeChristian Ringo39
  • ConsensusRyan Russell57
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Ryan Russell50
  • Breakout ageRyan Russell50
  • WorkloadRyan Russell50
  • RAS × productionRyan Russell100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Ryan Russell
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Christian Ringo
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Marcus Hardison
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Ryan Russell
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Christian Ringo
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Marcus Hardison
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Ryan RussellChristian RingoMarcus Hardison· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Ryan Russell

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.03 age; +0.02 charting total career snaps

Christian Ringo

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.02 age; −0.02 lowest board ranking

Marcus Hardison

−0.06 boards with him top-100; +0.03 HS recruit rating; −0.02 age