3 prospects · 2015 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Evan Spencer (age 21.9 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #195 (range #193-#197, tight projection). Bust probability sits at 12% — low. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #195 stands alone — and with bust risk at 12%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Dorial Green-Beckham (age 22.0 at draft) as a first-round pick at #13 (range #1-#27, wide band). Bust probability sits at 29% — manageable. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #13 stands alone — and with bust risk at 29%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Devin Funchess (age 20.9 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #47 (range #45-#49, tight projection). Bust probability sits at 13% — low. 40-yard dash of 4.70s — below-average separation speed for the position. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #47 stands alone — and with bust risk at 13%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.