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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (DT)
RN
Rakeem Nunez-Roches
DT · Southern Miss
21.8 yo · 6'2" · 307 lb
TD
Tyeler Davison
DT · Fresno St.
22.6 yo · 6'2" · 316 lb
KS
Kristjan Sokoli
DT · Buffalo
— · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Rakeem Nunez-Roches
Predicted pick
#175
range #165–#185
Bust probability
0%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$8Mmodel
Tyeler Davison
Predicted pick
#176
range #166–#186
Bust probability
0%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel
Kristjan Sokoli
Predicted pick
#180
range #163–#197
Bust probability
20%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Rakeem Nunez-Roches· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Tyeler Davison· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Kristjan Sokoli· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionRakeem Nunez-Roches0
  • AthleticismRakeem Nunez-Roches42
  • AgeRakeem Nunez-Roches97
  • ConsensusTyeler Davison43
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Rakeem Nunez-Roches50
  • Breakout ageRakeem Nunez-Roches50
  • WorkloadRakeem Nunez-Roches50
  • RAS × productionRakeem Nunez-Roches100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Rakeem Nunez-Roches
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Tyeler Davison
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Kristjan Sokoli
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Rakeem Nunez-Roches
Risks
  • Small-school competition
    School SP+ rating -15.9 (well below FBS median of 0). College production may not translate against NFL-quality DBs/pass-rushers. Schedule rank #75 (1=hardest).
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Tyeler Davison
Risks
  • Small-school competition
    School SP+ rating -6.9 (well below FBS median of 0). College production may not translate against NFL-quality DBs/pass-rushers. Schedule rank #73 (1=hardest).
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Kristjan Sokoli
Risks
  • No athletic testing
    No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured.
  • Small-school competition
    School SP+ rating -7.7 (well below FBS median of 0). College production may not translate against NFL-quality DBs/pass-rushers. Schedule rank #128 (1=hardest).
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Rakeem Nunez-RochesTyeler DavisonKristjan Sokoli· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Rakeem Nunez-Roches

Draftanomics projects Rakeem Nunez-Roches (age 21.8 at draft) as a mid-round flyer at #175 (range #165-#185, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. School SP+ rating -15.9 (well below FBS median of 0). College production may not translate against NFL-quality DBs/pass-rushers. Schedule rank #75 (1=hardest). The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #175 stands alone — and with bust risk at 0%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.

Tyeler Davison

Draftanomics projects Tyeler Davison (age 22.6 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #176 (range #166-#186, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. School SP+ rating -6.9 (well below FBS median of 0). College production may not translate against NFL-quality DBs/pass-rushers. Schedule rank #73 (1=hardest). The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #176 stands alone — and with bust risk at 0%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.

Kristjan Sokoli

Draftanomics projects Kristjan Sokoli as a Day 3 dart throw at #180 (range #163-#197, wide band). Bust probability sits at 20% — manageable. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #180 stands alone — and with bust risk at 20%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.