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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (WR)
MA
Mario Alford
WR · West Virginia
23.2 yo · 5'8" · 180 lb
BP
Breshad Perriman
WR · Central Florida
21.6 yo · 6'2" · 212 lb
DB
Da'Ron Brown
WR · Northern Illinois
23.6 yo · 6'0" · 205 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Mario Alford
Predicted pick
#234
range #97–#249
Bust probability
47%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Breshad Perriman
Predicted pick
#163
range #106–#256
Bust probability
12%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$8Mmodel
Da'Ron Brown
Predicted pick
#250
range #113–#265
Bust probability
41%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Mario Alford· RB / WR / TE
  • Breshad Perriman· RB / WR / TE
  • Da'Ron Brown· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionMario Alford33
  • AthleticismMario Alford40
  • AgeBreshad Perriman96
  • ConsensusBreshad Perriman59
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Mario Alford50
  • Breakout ageMario Alford50
  • WorkloadMario Alford100
  • RAS × productionMario Alford0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Mario Alford
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Breshad Perriman
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Da'Ron Brown
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Mario Alford
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Breshad Perriman
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Da'Ron Brown
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Mario AlfordBreshad PerrimanDa'Ron Brown· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Mario Alford

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.03 Power-5 production share; −0.03 age

Breshad Perriman

−0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.03 lowest board ranking; +0.02 age

Da'Ron Brown

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.03 age; −0.03 production trajectory