3 prospects · 2015 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Rory Anderson (age 22.6 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #63 (range #61-#65, tight projection). Bust probability sits at 63% — scary. Drafted #254 by SFO in 2015 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #63 stands alone — and with bust risk at 63%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Randall Telfer (age 22.9 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #198 (range #196-#200, tight projection). Bust probability sits at 75% — scary. Drafted #198 by CLE in 2015 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #198 stands alone — and with bust risk at 75%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Tyler Kroft (age 22.5 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #36 (range #34-#38, tight projection). Bust probability sits at 31% — real but not disqualifying. 40-yard dash of 4.75s — below-average separation speed for the position. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #36 stands alone — and with bust risk at 31%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.