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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (WR)
KB
Kenny Bell
WR · Nebraska
23.2 yo · 6'1" · 197 lb
DB
Da'Ron Brown
WR · Northern Illinois
23.6 yo · 6'0" · 205 lb
GD
Geremy Davis
WR · Connecticut
23.3 yo · 6'2" · 216 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Kenny Bell
Predicted pick
#231
range #94–#246
Bust probability
47%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
Da'Ron Brown
Predicted pick
#250
range #113–#265
Bust probability
41%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Geremy Davis
Predicted pick
#148
range #91–#241
Bust probability
12%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Kenny Bell· RB / WR / TE
  • Da'Ron Brown· RB / WR / TE
  • Geremy Davis· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionKenny Bell33
  • AthleticismKenny Bell40
  • AgeKenny Bell33
  • ConsensusKenny Bell52
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Kenny Bell50
  • Breakout ageKenny Bell50
  • WorkloadKenny Bell100
  • RAS × productionKenny Bell91

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Kenny Bell
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Da'Ron Brown
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Geremy Davis
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Kenny Bell
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Da'Ron Brown
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Geremy Davis
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Kenny BellDa'Ron BrownGeremy Davis· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Kenny Bell

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.03 age; −0.02 lowest board ranking

Da'Ron Brown

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.03 age; −0.03 production trajectory

Geremy Davis

−0.06 boards with him top-100; +0.03 production trajectory; −0.03 age