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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (OLB)
RG
Randy Gregory
OLB · Nebraska
22.4 yo · — · —
DM
Deiontrez Mount
OLB · Louisville
22.2 yo · — · —
LM
Lorenzo Mauldin
OLB · Louisville
22.6 yo · 6'4" · 259 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Randy Gregory
Predicted pick
#91
range #77–#105
Bust probability
42%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$16Mmodel
Deiontrez Mount
Predicted pick
#83
range #69–#97
Bust probability
42%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel
Lorenzo Mauldin
Predicted pick
#89
range #79–#99
Bust probability
47%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$10Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Randy Gregory· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Deiontrez Mount· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Lorenzo Mauldin· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionRandy Gregory0
  • AthleticismRandy Gregory42
  • AgeRandy Gregory97
  • ConsensusRandy Gregory68
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Randy Gregory50
  • Breakout ageRandy Gregory50
  • WorkloadRandy Gregory50
  • RAS × productionRandy Gregory100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Randy Gregory
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Deiontrez Mount
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Lorenzo Mauldin
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Randy Gregory
Risks
  • No athletic testing
    No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured.
  • Not on any consensus board
    Model has him at pick #91 but ZERO public big boards have him on their list. Either we're seeing something nobody else does, or the model is hallucinating.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Deiontrez Mount
Risks
  • No athletic testing
    No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured.
  • Not on any consensus board
    Model has him at pick #83 but ZERO public big boards have him on their list. Either we're seeing something nobody else does, or the model is hallucinating.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Lorenzo Mauldin
Risks
  • Not on any consensus board
    Model has him at pick #89 but ZERO public big boards have him on their list. Either we're seeing something nobody else does, or the model is hallucinating.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Randy GregoryDeiontrez MountLorenzo Mauldin· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Randy Gregory

Draftanomics projects Randy Gregory (age 22.4 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #91 (range #77-#105, wide band). Bust probability sits at 42% — real but not disqualifying. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #91 stands alone — and with bust risk at 42%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.

Deiontrez Mount

Draftanomics projects Deiontrez Mount (age 22.2 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #83 (range #69-#97, wide band). Bust probability sits at 42% — real but not disqualifying. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #83 stands alone — and with bust risk at 42%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.

Lorenzo Mauldin

Draftanomics projects Lorenzo Mauldin (age 22.6 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #89 (range #79-#99, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 47% — elevated. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #89 stands alone — and with bust risk at 47%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.