3 prospects · 2015 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Neiron Ball (age 22.7 at draft) as a mid-round flyer at #144 (range #134-#154, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #144 stands alone — and with bust risk at 0%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Tony Steward (age 22.6 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #224 (range #210-#238, wide band). Bust probability sits at 23% — manageable. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #224 stands alone — and with bust risk at 23%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Jordan Hicks (age 22.8 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #191 (range #181-#201, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #191 stands alone — and with bust risk at 0%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.