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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (TE)
TK
Tyler Kroft
TE · Rutgers
22.5 yo · 6'5" · 246 lb
RT
Randall Telfer
TE · USC
22.9 yo · 6'4" · 250 lb
JJ
Jesse James
TE · Penn St.
20.9 yo · 6'7" · 261 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Tyler Kroft
Predicted pick
#36
range #105–#202
Bust probability
31%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$9Mmodel
Randall Telfer
Predicted pick
#198
range #115–#249
Bust probability
75%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Jesse James
Predicted pick
#32
range #101–#198
Bust probability
26%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$8Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Tyler Kroft· RB / WR / TE
  • Randall Telfer· RB / WR / TE
  • Jesse James· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJesse James100
  • AthleticismTyler Kroft40
  • AgeJesse James96
  • ConsensusJesse James87
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Tyler Kroft50
  • Breakout ageTyler Kroft50
  • WorkloadTyler Kroft100
  • RAS × productionTyler Kroft0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Tyler Kroft
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Randall Telfer
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jesse James
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Tyler Kroft
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Randall Telfer
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jesse James
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Tyler KroftRandall TelferJesse James· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Tyler Kroft

−0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.04 production trajectory; −0.03 Power-5 production share

Randall Telfer

−0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.03 Power-5 production share; −0.03 HS recruit rating

Jesse James

−0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.03 college production; +0.03 HS recruit rating