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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (TE)
JH
Jeff Heuerman
TE · Ohio St.
22.4 yo · 6'5" · 254 lb
CU
C.J. Uzomah
TE · Auburn
22.3 yo · — · —
MW
Maxx Williams
TE · Minnesota
21.0 yo · 6'4" · 249 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Jeff Heuerman
Predicted pick
#239
range #102–#254
Bust probability
26%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
C.J. Uzomah
Predicted pick
#160
range #103–#253
Bust probability
19%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$11Mmodel
Maxx Williams
Predicted pick
#73
range #71–#75
Bust probability
6%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Jeff Heuerman· RB / WR / TE
  • C.J. Uzomah· RB / WR / TE
  • Maxx Williams· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJeff Heuerman33
  • AthleticismJeff Heuerman40
  • AgeC.J. Uzomah95
  • ConsensusC.J. Uzomah78
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Jeff Heuerman50
  • Breakout ageJeff Heuerman50
  • WorkloadJeff Heuerman100
  • RAS × productionJeff Heuerman0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Jeff Heuerman
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
C.J. Uzomah
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Maxx Williams
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Jeff Heuerman
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
C.J. Uzomah
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Maxx Williams
Risks
  • TE slow 40 (4.78s)
    40-yard dash of 4.78s — below-average separation speed for the position.
  • Not on any consensus board
    Model has him at pick #73 but ZERO public big boards have him on their list. Either we're seeing something nobody else does, or the model is hallucinating.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Jeff HeuermanC.J. UzomahMaxx Williams· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Jeff Heuerman

−0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.03 Power-5 production share; −0.03 HS recruit rating

C.J. Uzomah

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.03 charting total career snaps

Maxx Williams

Draftanomics projects Maxx Williams (age 21.0 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #73 (range #71-#75, tight projection). Bust probability sits at 6% — low. 40-yard dash of 4.78s — below-average separation speed for the position. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #73 stands alone — and with bust risk at 6%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.