3 prospects · 2015 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Martin Ifedi (age 23.6 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #246 (range #236-#256, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 65% — scary. School SP+ 5.6 (AMERICAN ATHLETIC). Strong program among non-Power-5 — the prospect dominated against decent competition. Drafted #227 by STL in 2015 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #246 stands alone — and with bust risk at 65%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Obum Gwacham (age 24.1 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #213 (range #203-#223, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 47% — elevated. Age 24.1 at draft. Slightly older than the cohort median (~22.5); upside ceiling is trimmed. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #213 stands alone — and with bust risk at 47%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Christian Ringo (age 23.1 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #238 (range #224-#252, wide band). Bust probability sits at 65% — scary. Drafted #210 by GNB in 2015 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #238 stands alone — and with bust risk at 65%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.