3 prospects · 2015 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Landon Collins (age 21.3 at draft) as a first-round pick at #12 (range #1-#26, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #12 stands alone — and with bust risk at 0%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Adrian Amos (age 22.0 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #37 (range #27-#47, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 4% — low. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #37 stands alone — and with bust risk at 4%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Jordan Richards (age 22.3 at draft) as a mid-round flyer at #140 (range #130-#150, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #140 stands alone — and with bust risk at 0%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.