3 prospects · 2016 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Keanu Neal (age 20.8 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #58 (range #48-#68, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a value lean: #58 against a consensus #72 is a 14-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early.
Draftanomics projects Karl Joseph (age 22.6 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #62 (range #55-#69, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #62 sits within 11 spots of the room's #51 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.
Draftanomics projects Will Parks (age 21.7 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #179 (range #169-#189, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 84 spots ahead of the room (board #179 vs consensus #262), and at a 0% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.