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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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  3. 2016 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2016 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (OLB)
TH
Tyrone Holmes
OLB · Montana
22.6 yo · — · —
KG
Kamu Grugier-Hill
OLB · Eastern Illinois
21.9 yo · — · —
JB
Jatavis Brown
OLB · Akron
22.2 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Tyrone Holmes
Predicted pick
#110
range #30–#218
Bust probability
33%
Consensus rank
#156
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel
Kamu Grugier-Hill
Predicted pick
#127
range #97–#257
Bust probability
27%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
Jatavis Brown
Predicted pick
#49
range #13–#182
Bust probability
36%
Consensus rank
#142
on 3 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Tyrone Holmes· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Kamu Grugier-Hill· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Jatavis Brown· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionTyrone Holmes50
  • AthleticismTyrone Holmes55
  • AgeKamu Grugier-Hill100
  • ConsensusTyrone Holmes21
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Tyrone Holmes50
  • Breakout ageTyrone Holmes50
  • WorkloadTyrone Holmes50
  • RAS × productionTyrone Holmes100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Tyrone Holmes
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Kamu Grugier-Hill
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jatavis Brown
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Tyrone Holmes
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Kamu Grugier-Hill
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jatavis Brown
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Tyrone HolmesKamu Grugier-HillJatavis Brown· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Tyrone Holmes

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.02 charting total career snaps; +0.02 age

Kamu Grugier-Hill

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.04 age; +0.03 charting total career snaps

Jatavis Brown

−0.04 charting total career snaps; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age