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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2016 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2016 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (P, LS)
LE
Lac Edwards
P · Sam Houston St.
24.0 yo · — · —
DK
Drew Kaser
P · Texas A&M
23.2 yo · 6'2" · 212 lb
JL
Jimmy Landes
LS · Baylor
— · 6'1" · 240 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Lac Edwards
Predicted pick
#214
range #131–#265
Bust probability
31%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel
Drew Kaser
Predicted pick
#168
range #111–#261
Bust probability
31%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Jimmy Landes
Predicted pick
#39
range #108–#205
Bust probability
31%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Lac Edwards· Specialists
  • Drew Kaser· Specialists
  • Jimmy Landes· Specialists
Axis leaders
  • ProductionLac Edwards50
  • AthleticismJimmy Landes100
  • AgeJimmy Landes100
  • ConsensusJimmy Landes100
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Lac Edwards50
  • Breakout ageLac Edwards50
  • WorkloadLac Edwards50
  • RAS × productionLac Edwards50

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Lac Edwards
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Drew Kaser
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jimmy Landes
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Lac Edwards
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Drew Kaser
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jimmy Landes
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Lac EdwardsDrew KaserJimmy Landes· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Lac Edwards

−0.07 age; −0.06 boards with him top-100; +0.02 charting total career snaps

Drew Kaser

−0.05 age; −0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.04 HS recruit rating

Jimmy Landes

+0.05 athleticism (combine); +0.05 age; +0.04 charting total career snaps