Draftanomics
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • 2028 way-too-early
  • Draft news
  • Simulator
  • The house mock
  • Draft order
  • Trade calculator
  • The Scouting Slate
  • Sleepers & reaches
  • Movers & fallers
  • Player comps
  • Dynasty rookie board
  • Track record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Analyst leaderboard
My rankingsAccount
Get the weekly →
Draftanomics

Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

Boards
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • Sleepers
Tools
  • Mock draft simulator
  • Plays Like
  • Dynasty rookie board
Track Record
  • Year-by-year results
  • Accountability Index
  • Our board, on the record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Methodology
  • Developers · free API
  • About
Account
  • My board
  • Weekly email
Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2016 board/
  4. Compare

Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2016 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (DT)
SR
Sheldon Rankins
DT · Louisville
22.1 yo · 6'1" · 299 lb
KC
Kenny Clark
DT · UCLA
20.6 yo · 6'3" · 314 lb
AB
Andrew Billings
DT · Baylor
21.1 yo · 6'1" · 311 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Sheldon Rankins
Predicted pick
#18
range #11–#25
Bust probability
0%
Consensus rank
#11
on 20 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$14Mmodel
Kenny Clark
Predicted pick
#20
range #10–#30
Bust probability
0%
Consensus rank
#25
on 17 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$26Mmodel
Andrew Billings
Predicted pick
#43
range #17–#147
Bust probability
26%
Consensus rank
#22
on 19 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Sheldon Rankins· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Kenny Clark· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Andrew Billings· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionSheldon Rankins50
  • AthleticismSheldon Rankins55
  • AgeSheldon Rankins81
  • ConsensusSheldon Rankins91
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Sheldon Rankins50
  • Breakout ageSheldon Rankins50
  • WorkloadSheldon Rankins50
  • RAS × productionSheldon Rankins100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Sheldon Rankins
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Kenny Clark
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Andrew Billings
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Sheldon Rankins
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Kenny Clark
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Andrew Billings
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Sheldon RankinsKenny ClarkAndrew Billings· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Sheldon Rankins

Draftanomics projects Sheldon Rankins (age 22.1 at draft) as a first-round pick at #18 (range #11-#25, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #18 and the room's #18 land on the same answer — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.

Kenny Clark

Draftanomics projects Kenny Clark (age 20.6 at draft) as a first-round pick at #20 (range #10-#30, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a value lean: #20 against a consensus #32 is a 12-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early.

Andrew Billings

+0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.04 charting total career snaps; +0.03 charting run def grade career avg