3 prospects · 2016 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Robert Nkemdiche (age 21.6 at draft) as a first-round pick at #26 (range #16-#36, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 48% — elevated. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #26 and the room's #26 land on the same answer — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 48% bust probability break ties on draft day.
Draftanomics projects Sheldon Rankins (age 22.1 at draft) as a first-round pick at #18 (range #11-#25, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #18 and the room's #18 land on the same answer — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.
Draftanomics projects Kenny Clark (age 20.6 at draft) as a first-round pick at #20 (range #10-#30, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a value lean: #20 against a consensus #32 is a 12-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early.