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Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2016 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (WR)
DR
Demarcus Robinson
WR · Florida
21.6 yo · 6'1" · 203 lb
CC
Cody Core
WR · Mississippi
22.0 yo · 6'3" · 205 lb
KL
Kolby Listenbee
WR · TCU
22.3 yo · 6'0" · 197 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Demarcus Robinson
Predicted pick
#116
range #114–#118
Bust probability
0%
Consensus rank
#166
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Cody Core
Predicted pick
#204
range #121–#255
Bust probability
5%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Kolby Listenbee
Predicted pick
#221
range #80–#264
Bust probability
37%
Consensus rank
#73
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$8Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Demarcus Robinson· RB / WR / TE
  • Cody Core· RB / WR / TE
  • Kolby Listenbee· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionCody Core73
  • AthleticismKolby Listenbee76
  • AgeDemarcus Robinson92
  • ConsensusDemarcus Robinson27
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Demarcus Robinson50
  • Breakout ageDemarcus Robinson50
  • WorkloadDemarcus Robinson100
  • RAS × productionDemarcus Robinson0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Demarcus Robinson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Cody Core
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Kolby Listenbee
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Demarcus Robinson
Risks
  • Consensus skeptic
    2 boards place him at mean rank #172; model has him #116 — a 56-spot gap. When boards fade a player this hard, the model is usually the one missing something.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Cody Core
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Kolby Listenbee
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Demarcus RobinsonCody CoreKolby Listenbee· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Demarcus Robinson

Draftanomics projects Demarcus Robinson (age 21.6 at draft) as a mid-round flyer at #116 (range #114-#118, tight projection). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 56 spots ahead of the room (board #116 vs consensus #172), and at a 0% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.

Cody Core

−0.05 charting total career snaps; −0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age

Kolby Listenbee

−0.06 charting total career snaps; −0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.04 Power-5 production share