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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2016 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2016 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
JB
James Bradberry
CB · Samford
22.7 yo · 6'1" · 211 lb
TC
Trey Caldwell
CB · La-Monroe
22.4 yo · — · —
JB
Juston Burris
CB · North Carolina St.
22.7 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

James Bradberry
Predicted pick
#197
range #114–#248
Bust probability· rough estimate
33%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$13Mmodel
Trey Caldwell
Predicted pick
#170
range #113–#263
Bust probability· rough estimate
35%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
Juston Burris
Predicted pick
#181
range #68–#265
Bust probability· rough estimate
35%
Consensus rank
#134
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • James Bradberry· CB / S
  • Trey Caldwell· CB / S
  • Juston Burris· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJames Bradberry50
  • AthleticismJames Bradberry50
  • AgeTrey Caldwell88
  • ConsensusTrey Caldwell24
  • Per-play impact (PPA)James Bradberry50
  • Breakout ageJames Bradberry50
  • WorkloadJames Bradberry50
  • RAS × productionJames Bradberry50

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
James Bradberry
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Trey Caldwell
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Juston Burris
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

James Bradberry
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Trey Caldwell
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Juston Burris
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
James BradberryTrey CaldwellJuston Burris· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

James Bradberry

−0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.04 HS recruit rating; +0.02 charting total career snaps

Trey Caldwell

−0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.04 charting total career snaps; +0.03 age

Juston Burris

+0.05 charting coverage grade career avg; −0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.04 charting total career snaps