3 prospects · 2016 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Kyler Fackrell (age 24.4 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #95 (range #78-#112, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. Age 24.4 at draft. Slightly older than the cohort median (~22.5); upside ceiling is trimmed. The call is a lean fade: the model sits 28 spots below the room's consensus #68 — don't pay sticker price. The discount is earned — older prospect leads the case against.
Draftanomics projects Tyler Matakevich (age 23.3 at draft) as a mid-round flyer at #121 (range #111-#131, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 7% — low. School SP+ 6.0 (AMERICAN ATHLETIC). Strong program among non-Power-5 — the prospect dominated against decent competition. Age 23.3 at draft. Slightly older than the cohort median (~22.5); upside ceiling is trimmed. The call is a lean fade: the model sits 18 spots below the room's consensus #102 — don't pay sticker price. The discount is earned — older prospect leads the case against.
+0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.04 charting total career snaps; +0.03 charting coverage grade career avg