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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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  3. 2016 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2016 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (WR)
KL
Kolby Listenbee
WR · TCU
22.3 yo · 6'0" · 197 lb
CC
Corey Coleman
WR · Baylor
21.8 yo · 5'11" · 194 lb
JP
Jordan Payton
WR · UCLA
22.6 yo · 6'1" · 207 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Kolby Listenbee
Predicted pick
#221
range #80–#264
Bust probability
37%
Consensus rank
#73
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$8Mmodel
Corey Coleman
Predicted pick
#10
range #1–#53
Bust probability
0%
Consensus rank
#26
on 20 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel
Jordan Payton
Predicted pick
#228
range #72–#227
Bust probability
38%
Consensus rank
#109
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Kolby Listenbee· RB / WR / TE
  • Corey Coleman· RB / WR / TE
  • Jordan Payton· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionKolby Listenbee0
  • AthleticismCorey Coleman100
  • AgeKolby Listenbee87
  • ConsensusKolby Listenbee27
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Kolby Listenbee50
  • Breakout ageKolby Listenbee50
  • WorkloadKolby Listenbee100
  • RAS × productionCorey Coleman100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Kolby Listenbee
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Corey Coleman
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jordan Payton
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Kolby Listenbee
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Corey Coleman
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jordan Payton
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Kolby ListenbeeCorey ColemanJordan Payton· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Kolby Listenbee

−0.06 charting total career snaps; −0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.04 Power-5 production share

Corey Coleman

+0.07 boards with him top-100; +0.05 athleticism (combine); −0.04 charting total career snaps

Jordan Payton

−0.04 charting total career snaps; −0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.04 Power-5 production share