Draftanomics
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • 2028 way-too-early
  • Draft news
  • Simulator
  • The house mock
  • Draft order
  • Trade calculator
  • The Scouting Slate
  • Sleepers & reaches
  • Movers & fallers
  • Player comps
  • Dynasty rookie board
  • Track record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Analyst leaderboard
My rankingsAccount
Get the weekly →
Draftanomics

Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

Boards
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • Sleepers
Tools
  • Mock draft simulator
  • Plays Like
  • Dynasty rookie board
Track Record
  • Year-by-year results
  • Accountability Index
  • Our board, on the record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Methodology
  • Developers · free API
  • About
Account
  • My board
  • Weekly email
Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2016 board/
  4. Compare

Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2016 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (DT)
AG
Adam Gotsis
DT · Georgia Tech
23.6 yo · 6'4" · 287 lb
AZ
Anthony Zettel
DT · Penn St.
23.7 yo · 6'4" · 277 lb
QJ
Quinton Jefferson
DT · Maryland
23.1 yo · 6'4" · 291 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Adam Gotsis
Predicted pick
#225
range #88–#240
Bust probability
24%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Anthony Zettel
Predicted pick
#239
range #83–#238
Bust probability
40%
Consensus rank
#161
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Quinton Jefferson
Predicted pick
#169
range #112–#262
Bust probability
41%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$9Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Adam Gotsis· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Anthony Zettel· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Quinton Jefferson· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionAdam Gotsis50
  • AthleticismAnthony Zettel55
  • AgeQuinton Jefferson42
  • ConsensusAnthony Zettel21
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Adam Gotsis50
  • Breakout ageAdam Gotsis50
  • WorkloadAdam Gotsis50
  • RAS × productionAdam Gotsis100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Adam Gotsis
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Anthony Zettel
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Quinton Jefferson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Adam Gotsis
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Anthony Zettel
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Quinton Jefferson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Adam GotsisAnthony ZettelQuinton Jefferson· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Adam Gotsis

−0.05 age; −0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.04 charting total career snaps

Anthony Zettel

−0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.05 age; −0.03 HS recruit rating

Quinton Jefferson

−0.05 charting total career snaps; −0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 age