Omarion Miller wins with explosive first-step burst that lets him hit top speed before the safety can flip his hips, and when the ball is in the air he climbs the ladder to win jump balls at the catch point. The model's board has him at No. 35 overall, 31 spots above the consensus mark of 66 across 16 boards — real separation between the two boards. He also just made the jump from Colorado to Arizona State, a portal move that adds one more variable to an already thin sample.
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
The model loves him and the public hasn't caught up — the kind of gap that makes a draft-night steal if the model is right.
Draftanomics ranks Omarion Miller at #35 overall — a Day 2 grade. The model's case leans on broad top-100 board coverage and top-50 board coverage. Bust risk projects at 9%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade. Public consensus has him #66; Draftanomics's board is 31 spots higher.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 2, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Historical players this prospect resembles
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports
Read the two ends and skim the middle: the model has a real track record telling stars and bustsapart, but “solid starter vs. rotation guy” is close to a coin flip from public data — that's why those two bars are grayed. For his odds of outright busting, the Bust-risk panel next door is the number to trust.
The bracketed ranges show how far each number could reasonably move — they come from how 23–57 similar players in past drafts actually turned out.
16 public boards track this prospect. Per-board breakdown loads with the live board.
Highlight reels indexed from YouTube. Loads only when you press play.
Working in his favor: how many boards rank him top-100, how many boards rank him top-50, and production trajectory. Nothing in the profile pulled the grade down.
The grade is the 0-to-1 score the board sorts by — it only means something next to the rest of this class, which is why the rank above it is the number to quote.
Outcome shares from the 4-tier model. The Bust share here is a different model than the headline bust probability — for bust risk, use that number.
Everything that could go wrong with Omarion Miller, gathered in one place — the most serious flags listed first.