The model graded Joey Iosefa at pick #244; he was actually picked #231 by TAM. 1 NFL season in, he's hung on the fringe of the rotation (grading 4.9 of 20 per season).
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
We had him No. 244 on draft night, and the league mostly agreed — TAM took him at No. 231. The seasons since are the scoreboard.
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Historical players this prospect resembles
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports
Draftanomics had Joey Iosefa at #244 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and TAM took him at No. 231. Bust risk projects at 15%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 7, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Too early to project a career arc.
No public board has ranked this prospect and the model has no production, athletic, or NFL data to anchor on — any percentages here would be noise dressed up as precision. The outlook fills in once boards rank him or real numbers land.
No public-board coverage yet.
Highlight reels indexed from YouTube. Loads only when you press play.
Working in his favor: his charted total career snaps. Working against him: how many boards rank him top-100 and age.
The grade is the 0-to-1 score the board sorts by — it only means something next to the rest of this class, which is why the rank above it is the number to quote.
Not enough to go on yet — no public board ranks him and there's no production or testing data to anchor a career projection.
Everything that could go wrong with Joey Iosefa, gathered in one place — the most serious flags listed first.
Roster-based need returns once the 2014 season is played — grading this year’s teams on last year’s depth chart would be guessing. What’s knowable now: the teams holding picks around No. 244, and which of them already spent premium capital at RB / WR / TE in the 2014 draft.
Gold means no recent premium investment at RB / WR / TE — the cleaner fit on paper. Grey means they already spent one.