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2017 NFL Draft prospect
Elijah McGuire
age 22.9 · 5'10" · 214 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 70% and the realistic range is No. 113 to No. 247.
Sun Belt→ NYJ's 2017 class
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Elijah McGuire at pick #196; he was actually picked #188 by NYJ. 1 NFL season in, he's producing like a real starter (grading 12.2 of 20 per season). Model expects a second-deal AAV around $6M/yr.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Low conviction#196RB·Louisiana
We had him No. 196 on draft night, and the league mostly agreed — NYJ took him at No. 188. The seasons since are the scoreboard.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk4
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps5
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports