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2017 NFL Draft prospect
C.J. Beathard
age 23.4 · 6'2" · 219 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 31% and the realistic range is No. 97 to No. 249.
Big Ten→ SFO's 2017 class
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded C.J. Beathard at pick #234; he was actually picked #104 by SFO. 1 NFL season in, he's carved out a genuine role (grading 10.5 of 20 per season). Model expects a second-deal AAV around $5M/yr.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Low conviction#234QB·Iowa
The league moved faster than our board — SFO took him at No. 104, 130 picks ahead of our No. 234 grade. His career is settling that argument now.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk6
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps5
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports