Who NOshould take — each prospect's model grade, weighted up where the roster is thin, so highly graded players at positions NO needs rise to the top.

50/50 prospects

Rank↑	Player	Pos	Tier	College	Pos need	Model rank	Fit	Why he fits
1	Jonathan Allenblend#1$12M EDGEBlue Chip· Alabama· model #1	EDGE	Blue Chip	Alabama	low need	#1	0.90	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
2	Forrest Lampblend#2$12M GBlue Chip· Western Kentucky· model #2	G	Blue Chip	Western Kentucky	low need	#2	0.89	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
3	Ryan Ramczykblend#3$11M OTBlue Chip· Wisconsin· model #3	OT	Blue Chip	Wisconsin	low need	#3	0.88	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
4	Deshaun Watsonblend#16 QB1st Round· Clemson· model #16· critical need	QB	1st Round	Clemson	critical need	#16	0.88	Fills one of the biggest holes on the roster; the board sees a first-rounder.
5	Malik Hookerblend#4$10M SBlue Chip· Ohio St.· model #4	S	Blue Chip	Ohio St.	low need	#4	0.87	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
6	Myles Garrettblend#6$8M EDGEBlue Chip· Texas A&M· model #6	EDGE	Blue Chip	Texas A&M	low need	#6	0.87	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
7	Leonard Fournetteblend#5$9M RBBlue Chip· LSU· model #5	RB	Blue Chip	LSU	low need	#5	0.87	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
8	Jamal Adamsblend#7$8M S1st Round· LSU· model #7	S	1st Round	LSU	low need	#7	0.86	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
9	Solomon Thomasblend#9$7M EDGE1st Round· Stanford· model #9	EDGE	1st Round	Stanford	low need	#9	0.85	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
10	Reuben Fosterblend#10$7M LB1st Round· Alabama· model #10	LB	1st Round	Alabama	low need	#10	0.85	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
11	O.J. Howardblend#8$7M TE1st Round· Alabama· model #8	TE	1st Round	Alabama	low need	#8	0.85	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
12	Corey Davisblend#11$6M WR1st Round· Western Michigan· model #11	WR	1st Round	Western Michigan	low need	#11	0.84	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
13	Dan Feeney G1st Round· Indiana· model #14	G	1st Round	Indiana	low need	#14	0.84	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
14	John Rossblend#12$6M WR1st Round· Washington· model #12	WR	1st Round	Washington	low need	#12	0.83	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
15	Dalvin Cookblend#13$6M RB1st Round· Florida St.· model #13	RB	1st Round	Florida St.	low need	#13	0.83	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
16	Derek Barnettblend#15$5M EDGE1st Round· Tennessee· model #15	EDGE	1st Round	Tennessee	low need	#15	0.81	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
17	Christian McCaffreyblend#17$5M RB1st Round· Stanford· model #17	RB	1st Round	Stanford	low need	#17	0.78	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
18	Marshon Lattimoreblend#18$5M CB1st Round· Ohio St.· model #18	CB	1st Round	Ohio St.	low need	#18	0.77	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
19	Nico Siragusa G1st Round· San Diego St.· model #20	G	1st Round	San Diego St.	low need	#20	0.76	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
20	Jabrill Peppersblend#19$4M S1st Round· Michigan· model #19	S	1st Round	Michigan	low need	#19	0.75	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
21	Mitchell Trubiskyblend#38 QBDay 2· North Carolina· model #38· critical need	QB	Day 2	North Carolina	critical need	#38	0.75	Fills one of the biggest holes on the roster; the board sees a top-100 player.
22	Takkarist McKinleyblend#21$4M EDGE1st Round· UCLA· model #21	EDGE	1st Round	UCLA	low need	#21	0.75	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
23	Taylor Moton G1st Round· Western Michigan· model #22	G	1st Round	Western Michigan	low need	#22	0.73	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
24	Patrick Mahomesblend#44 QBDay 2· Texas Tech· model #44· critical need	QB	Day 2	Texas Tech	critical need	#44	0.73	Fills one of the biggest holes on the roster; the board sees a top-100 player.
25	Garett Bollesblend#23$4M OT1st Round· Utah· model #23	OT	1st Round	Utah	low need	#23	0.73	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
26	Mike Williamsblend#24$4M WR1st Round· Clemson· model #24	WR	1st Round	Clemson	low need	#24	0.72	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
27	Cam Robinsonblend#27$4M OT1st Round· Alabama· model #27	OT	1st Round	Alabama	low need	#27	0.72	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
28	Budda Baker S1st Round· Washington· model #25	S	1st Round	Washington	low need	#25	0.71	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
29	Marcus Williams S1st Round· Utah· model #26	S	1st Round	Utah	low need	#26	0.71	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
30	Obi Melifonwublend#28$4M S1st Round· Connecticut· model #28	S	1st Round	Connecticut	low need	#28	0.70	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
31	Nathan Gerry S1st Round· Nebraska· model #29	S	1st Round	Nebraska	low need	#29	0.70	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
32	Derek Rivers EDGE1st Round· Youngstown St.· model #31	EDGE	1st Round	Youngstown St.	low need	#31	0.70	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
33	David Njokublend#30$4M TE1st Round· Miami (FL)· model #30	TE	1st Round	Miami (FL)	low need	#30	0.70	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
34	Desmond King S1st Round· Iowa· model #32	S	1st Round	Iowa	low need	#32	0.69	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
35	Taco Charltonblend#34$3M EDGEDay 2· Michigan· model #34	EDGE	Day 2	Michigan	low need	#34	0.69	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
36	Alvin Kamarablend#33$3M RBDay 2· Tennessee· model #33	RB	Day 2	Tennessee	low need	#33	0.69	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
37	Dion Dawkins GDay 2· Temple· model #36	G	Day 2	Temple	low need	#36	0.69	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
38	Sidney Jones CBDay 2· Washington· model #35	CB	Day 2	Washington	low need	#35	0.68	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
39	DeShone Kizerblend#67 QBDay 2· Notre Dame· model #67· critical need	QB	Day 2	Notre Dame	critical need	#67	0.67	Fills one of the biggest holes on the roster; the board sees a top-100 player.
40	Marlon Humphreyblend#37$3M CBDay 2· Alabama· model #37	CB	Day 2	Alabama	low need	#37	0.67	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
41	Raekwon McMillan LBDay 2· Ohio St.· model #39	LB	Day 2	Ohio St.	low need	#39	0.66	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
42	Justin Evans SDay 2· Texas A&M· model #40	S	Day 2	Texas A&M	low need	#40	0.66	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
43	Malik McDowell DTDay 2· Michigan St.· model #41	DT	Day 2	Michigan St.	low need	#41	0.66	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
44	Haason Reddickblend#42$3M LBDay 2· Temple· model #42	LB	Day 2	Temple	low need	#42	0.66	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
45	Gareon Conleyblend#43$3M CBDay 2· Ohio St.· model #43	CB	Day 2	Ohio St.	low need	#43	0.65	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
46	Jarrad Davis LBDay 2· Florida· model #45	LB	Day 2	Florida	low need	#45	0.65	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
47	Zach Cunninghamblend#46$2M LBDay 2· Vanderbilt· model #46	LB	Day 2	Vanderbilt	low need	#46	0.65	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
48	Isaac Asiata GDay 2· Utah· model #47	G	Day 2	Utah	low need	#47	0.65	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
49	Antonio Garcia OTDay 2· Troy· model #49	OT	Day 2	Troy	low need	#49	0.65	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
50	Dorian Johnson GDay 2· Pittsburgh· model #50	G	Day 2	Pittsburgh	low need	#50	0.64	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.

Target boardDraft capitalHaul gradeSchemeCap outlook

NO's biggest positional needs

QBcritical need

top fit: Deshaun Watson (QB)

Who NOshould take — each prospect's model grade, weighted up where the roster is thin, so highly graded players at positions NO needs rise to the top.

50/50 prospects

Rank↑	Player	Pos	Tier	College	Pos need	Model rank	Fit	Why he fits
1	Jonathan Allenblend#1$12M EDGEBlue Chip· Alabama· model #1	EDGE	Blue Chip	Alabama	low need	#1	0.90	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
2	Forrest Lampblend#2$12M GBlue Chip· Western Kentucky· model #2	G	Blue Chip	Western Kentucky	low need	#2	0.89	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
3	Ryan Ramczykblend#3$11M OTBlue Chip· Wisconsin· model #3	OT	Blue Chip	Wisconsin	low need	#3	0.88	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
4	Deshaun Watsonblend#16 QB1st Round· Clemson· model #16· critical need	QB	1st Round	Clemson	critical need	#16	0.88	Fills one of the biggest holes on the roster; the board sees a first-rounder.
5	Malik Hookerblend#4$10M SBlue Chip· Ohio St.· model #4	S	Blue Chip	Ohio St.	low need	#4	0.87	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
6	Myles Garrettblend#6$8M EDGEBlue Chip· Texas A&M· model #6	EDGE	Blue Chip	Texas A&M	low need	#6	0.87	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
7	Leonard Fournetteblend#5$9M RBBlue Chip· LSU· model #5	RB	Blue Chip	LSU	low need	#5	0.87	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
8	Jamal Adamsblend#7$8M S1st Round· LSU· model #7	S	1st Round	LSU	low need	#7	0.86	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
9	Solomon Thomasblend#9$7M EDGE1st Round· Stanford· model #9	EDGE	1st Round	Stanford	low need	#9	0.85	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
10	Reuben Fosterblend#10$7M LB1st Round· Alabama· model #10	LB	1st Round	Alabama	low need	#10	0.85	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
11	O.J. Howardblend#8$7M TE1st Round· Alabama· model #8	TE	1st Round	Alabama	low need	#8	0.85	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
12	Corey Davisblend#11$6M WR1st Round· Western Michigan· model #11	WR	1st Round	Western Michigan	low need	#11	0.84	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
13	Dan Feeney G1st Round· Indiana· model #14	G	1st Round	Indiana	low need	#14	0.84	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
14	John Rossblend#12$6M WR1st Round· Washington· model #12	WR	1st Round	Washington	low need	#12	0.83	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
15	Dalvin Cookblend#13$6M RB1st Round· Florida St.· model #13	RB	1st Round	Florida St.	low need	#13	0.83	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
16	Derek Barnettblend#15$5M EDGE1st Round· Tennessee· model #15	EDGE	1st Round	Tennessee	low need	#15	0.81	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board says top-15 talent.
17	Christian McCaffreyblend#17$5M RB1st Round· Stanford· model #17	RB	1st Round	Stanford	low need	#17	0.78	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
18	Marshon Lattimoreblend#18$5M CB1st Round· Ohio St.· model #18	CB	1st Round	Ohio St.	low need	#18	0.77	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
19	Nico Siragusa G1st Round· San Diego St.· model #20	G	1st Round	San Diego St.	low need	#20	0.76	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
20	Jabrill Peppersblend#19$4M S1st Round· Michigan· model #19	S	1st Round	Michigan	low need	#19	0.75	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
21	Mitchell Trubiskyblend#38 QBDay 2· North Carolina· model #38· critical need	QB	Day 2	North Carolina	critical need	#38	0.75	Fills one of the biggest holes on the roster; the board sees a top-100 player.
22	Takkarist McKinleyblend#21$4M EDGE1st Round· UCLA· model #21	EDGE	1st Round	UCLA	low need	#21	0.75	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
23	Taylor Moton G1st Round· Western Michigan· model #22	G	1st Round	Western Michigan	low need	#22	0.73	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
24	Patrick Mahomesblend#44 QBDay 2· Texas Tech· model #44· critical need	QB	Day 2	Texas Tech	critical need	#44	0.73	Fills one of the biggest holes on the roster; the board sees a top-100 player.
25	Garett Bollesblend#23$4M OT1st Round· Utah· model #23	OT	1st Round	Utah	low need	#23	0.73	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
26	Mike Williamsblend#24$4M WR1st Round· Clemson· model #24	WR	1st Round	Clemson	low need	#24	0.72	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
27	Cam Robinsonblend#27$4M OT1st Round· Alabama· model #27	OT	1st Round	Alabama	low need	#27	0.72	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
28	Budda Baker S1st Round· Washington· model #25	S	1st Round	Washington	low need	#25	0.71	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
29	Marcus Williams S1st Round· Utah· model #26	S	1st Round	Utah	low need	#26	0.71	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
30	Obi Melifonwublend#28$4M S1st Round· Connecticut· model #28	S	1st Round	Connecticut	low need	#28	0.70	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
31	Nathan Gerry S1st Round· Nebraska· model #29	S	1st Round	Nebraska	low need	#29	0.70	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
32	Derek Rivers EDGE1st Round· Youngstown St.· model #31	EDGE	1st Round	Youngstown St.	low need	#31	0.70	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
33	David Njokublend#30$4M TE1st Round· Miami (FL)· model #30	TE	1st Round	Miami (FL)	low need	#30	0.70	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
34	Desmond King S1st Round· Iowa· model #32	S	1st Round	Iowa	low need	#32	0.69	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a first-rounder.
35	Taco Charltonblend#34$3M EDGEDay 2· Michigan· model #34	EDGE	Day 2	Michigan	low need	#34	0.69	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
36	Alvin Kamarablend#33$3M RBDay 2· Tennessee· model #33	RB	Day 2	Tennessee	low need	#33	0.69	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
37	Dion Dawkins GDay 2· Temple· model #36	G	Day 2	Temple	low need	#36	0.69	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
38	Sidney Jones CBDay 2· Washington· model #35	CB	Day 2	Washington	low need	#35	0.68	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
39	DeShone Kizerblend#67 QBDay 2· Notre Dame· model #67· critical need	QB	Day 2	Notre Dame	critical need	#67	0.67	Fills one of the biggest holes on the roster; the board sees a top-100 player.
40	Marlon Humphreyblend#37$3M CBDay 2· Alabama· model #37	CB	Day 2	Alabama	low need	#37	0.67	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
41	Raekwon McMillan LBDay 2· Ohio St.· model #39	LB	Day 2	Ohio St.	low need	#39	0.66	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
42	Justin Evans SDay 2· Texas A&M· model #40	S	Day 2	Texas A&M	low need	#40	0.66	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
43	Malik McDowell DTDay 2· Michigan St.· model #41	DT	Day 2	Michigan St.	low need	#41	0.66	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
44	Haason Reddickblend#42$3M LBDay 2· Temple· model #42	LB	Day 2	Temple	low need	#42	0.66	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
45	Gareon Conleyblend#43$3M CBDay 2· Ohio St.· model #43	CB	Day 2	Ohio St.	low need	#43	0.65	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
46	Jarrad Davis LBDay 2· Florida· model #45	LB	Day 2	Florida	low need	#45	0.65	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
47	Zach Cunninghamblend#46$2M LBDay 2· Vanderbilt· model #46	LB	Day 2	Vanderbilt	low need	#46	0.65	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
48	Isaac Asiata GDay 2· Utah· model #47	G	Day 2	Utah	low need	#47	0.65	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
49	Antonio Garcia OTDay 2· Troy· model #49	OT	Day 2	Troy	low need	#49	0.65	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.
50	Dorian Johnson GDay 2· Pittsburgh· model #50	G	Day 2	Pittsburgh	low need	#50	0.64	A best-player-available play, not a need pick; the board sees a top-100 player.