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Draftanomics

2020 NFL Draft order

Every pick, every round, with the team currently projected to hold it. 253 picks across seven rounds; compensatory picks land in the spring and reshape the back half of the order. Until the season sorts it out, the order is projected from reverse standings — the how is in themethodology — and actual trades replace projections as they're reported.

Pick odds

Draft-slot odds · through week 17

Final 2019 standings — residual spread is record-tie uncertainty only.
TeamRecordExp. slotNo. 1Top 3Top 10
CIN2–141.0>99%>99%>99%
WAS3–132.00%>99%>99%
DET3½–123.00%>99%>99%
NYG4–124.00%0%>99%
CAR5–116.00%0%>99%
LAC5–116.00%0%>99%
MIA5–116.00%0%>99%
ARI5½–108.00%0%>99%
CLE6–109.50%0%>99%
JAX6–109.50%0%>99%
ATL7–913.50%0%0%
DEN7–913.50%0%0%
IND7–913.50%0%0%
NYJ7–913.50%0%0%
OAK7–913.50%0%0%
TB7–913.50%0%0%

Top 16 by expected slot shown — the tanking conversation, not the contenders.

Probabilities come from simulating the rest of the 2019 season thousands of times, with early records shrunk toward .500 exactly as much as 16 seasons of history say they should be. We graded the method against each of those seasons before trusting it; the forecast sharpens as the season goes because history shows it has earned that confidence.

Year20272026202520242023202220212020|RoundAllR1R2R3R4R5R6R7
DivisionallAFC EastAFC NorthAFC SouthAFC WestNFC EastNFC NorthNFC SouthNFC West
#Round · slotTeamSource
7R1 · 7CARCarolina Panthersactual
13R1 · 13TBTampa Bay Buccaneersactual
16R1 · 16ATLAtlanta Falconsactual
24R1 · 24NONew Orleans Saintsactual
38R2 · 6CARCarolina Panthersactual
45R2 · 13TBTampa Bay Buccaneersactual
47R2 · 15ATLAtlanta Falconsactual
64R2 · 32CARCarolina Panthersactual
74R3 · 10NONew Orleans Saintsactual
76R3 · 12TBTampa Bay Buccaneersactual
78R3 · 14ATLAtlanta Falconsactual
105R3 · 9NONew Orleans Saintsactual
113R4 · 17CARCarolina Panthersactual
119R4 · 23ATLAtlanta Falconsactual
134R4 · 6ATLAtlanta Falconsactual
152R5 · 24CARCarolina Panthersactual
161R5 · 1TBTampa Bay Buccaneersactual
184R6 · 24CARCarolina Panthersactual
194R6 · 2TBTampa Bay Buccaneersactual
221R7 · 29CARCarolina Panthersactual
228R7 · 4ATLAtlanta Falconsactual
240R7 · 16NONew Orleans Saintsactual
241R7 · 17TBTampa Bay Buccaneersactual
245R7 · 21TBTampa Bay Buccaneersactual