2021 NFL Draft order

Every pick, every round, with the team currently projected to hold it. 259 picks across seven rounds; compensatory picks land in the spring and reshape the back half of the order. Until the season sorts it out, the order is projected from reverse standings — the how is in themethodology — and actual trades replace projections as they're reported.

Pick odds

Draft-slot odds · through week 17

Final 2020 standings — residual spread is record-tie uncertainty only.
TeamRecordExp. slotNo. 1Top 3Top 10
JAX1151.0>99%>99%>99%
NYJ2142.00%>99%>99%
ATL4123.50%50%>99%
HOU4123.50%50%>99%
CIN4½115.50%0%>99%
PHI4½115.50%0%>99%
CAR5118.00%0%>99%
DEN5118.00%0%>99%
DET5118.00%0%>99%
DAL61011.00%0%33%
NYG61011.00%0%34%
SF61011.00%0%33%
LAC7914.50%0%0%
MIN7914.50%0%0%
NE7914.50%0%0%
WAS7914.50%0%0%

Top 16 by expected slot shown — the tanking conversation, not the contenders.

Probabilities come from simulating the rest of the 2020 season thousands of times, with early records shrunk toward .500 exactly as much as 16 seasons of history say they should be. We graded the method against each of those seasons before trusting it; the forecast sharpens as the season goes because history shows it has earned that confidence.

#Round · slotTeamSource
9R1 · 9DENactual
13R1 · 13LACactual
17R1 · 17LVactual
35R2 · 3DENactual
43R2 · 11LVactual
47R2 · 15LACactual
58R2 · 26KCactual
63R2 · 31KCactual
77R3 · 13LACactual
79R3 · 15LVactual
80R3 · 16LVactual
97R3 · 1LACactual
98R3 · 2DENactual
105R3 · 9DENactual
118R4 · 22LACactual
143R4 · 15LVactual
144R4 · 16KCactual
152R5 · 24DENactual
159R5 · 31LACactual
162R5 · 2KCactual
164R5 · 4DENactual
167R5 · 7LVactual
181R5 · 21KCactual
185R6 · 25LACactual
198R6 · 6LACactual
219R6 · 27DENactual
226R6 · 2KCactual
230R7 · 6LVactual
237R7 · 13DENactual
239R7 · 15DENactual
241R7 · 17LACactual
253R7 · 29DENactual