On the live board, bust risk sits at 24% and the historical draft-day landing band is No. 98 to No. 250.
T.J. Moore looks like a big target who got more work in 2025, catching 52 passes for 837 yards and averaging 16.1 yards a catch after a 45-catch, 651-yard debut as a sophomore. The Clemson receiver checks in at 235 on Draftanomics' early model board for the 2027 class, and no public boards have ranked him yet.
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Both of the model's reads put him in Day-3 / priority-free-agent range. If the public boards are higher, the model is the one doing the fading — check the dossier for what it isn't seeing.
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Historical players this prospect resembles
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports
A Key West, FL native, Moore arrived at Clemson as a five-star recruit — the No. 23 player in his high-school class on the national composite. He enters the season as a junior, listed at 6'3" and 200 pounds, wearing No. 1.
Too early to project a career arc.
No public board has ranked this prospect and the model has no production, athletic, or NFL data to anchor on — any percentages here would be noise dressed up as precision. The outlook fills in once boards rank him or real numbers land.
No public-board coverage yet.
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The displayed grade gets its strongest lift from age. Its largest drags are scout consensus.
The grade is the 0-to-1 score the board sorts by — it only means something next to the rest of this class, which is why the rank above it is the number to quote.
No analyst board has ranked this prospect yet, and the file is still thin — the graded panels below are the honest read. We write a report when there's a real disagreement to argue or scouting film to cite.
Production climbed from 650 receiving yards in 2024 to 837 in 2025.
| Season | Team | Games | Rec | Yards | TD | Yds/catch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Clemson | 14 | 45 | 650 | 5 | 14.4 |
| 2025 | Clemson | 13 | 52 | 837 | 4 | 16.1 |
Counting stats from charted college games. A dash means the stat wasn't recorded that season.
Percentiles are direction-aware — for 40-time / 3-cone / shuttle, lower is faster, so a 95th-percentile mark means faster than 95% of peers. Hover any percentile for the exact peer group and sample size. A missing row means he hasn't posted that measurement.
Everything that could go wrong with T.J. Moore, gathered in one place — the most serious flags listed first.
Pre-mortem: No material failure modes surface on T.J. Moore from current data.