AAV rankings
Two numbers per prospect, because a second contract is two bets. The odds column is the chance he earns a second NFL deal at all, priced at draft time — about 87 percent of first-rounders do, about 22 percent of seventh-rounders. The dollar figure is the deal's average annual value — the AAV in the page title — what it pays per season if it happens, in today's cap dollars, built from every real second contract signed by the 2015–2023 classes. We show them separately rather than blending them into one expected value: nobody signs the average of $60 million and nothing. The order does multiply them, though — a $17 million projection you collect one time in five is not worth more than a $17 million projection you collect almost surely, so the rank is odds × dollars even though the columns stay separate. For classes already through the league, compare the projection with what the player actually signed — both translated to the current cap, so a 2015 deal and a 2022 deal sit on the same scale.
Showing 2026. Back to the live class (2027).
| # | Player | Pos | College | 2nd-deal odds | AAV if signed | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | Indiana | 97% | $21.2M-$32.4M | — | — |
| 2 | Carnell Tate | WR | Ohio St. | 93% | $22.0M-$33.6M | — | — |
| 3 | KC Concepcion | WR | Texas A&M | 96% | $20.0M-$30.7M | — | — |
| 4 | Elijah Sarratt | WR | Indiana | 93% | $16.6M-$25.4M | — | — |
| 5 | Jeremiyah Love | RB | Notre Dame | 94% | $15.5M-$23.8M | — | — |
| 6 | Denzel Boston | WR | Washington | 72% | $19.7M-$30.1M | — | — |
| 7 | Chris Brazzell II | WR | Tennessee | 81% | $14.7M-$22.5M | — | — |
| 8 | Jordyn Tyson | WR | Arizona St. | 87% | $12.7M-$19.4M | — | — |
| 9 | Kenyon Sadiq | TE | Oregon | 90% | $11.9M-$18.3M | — | — |
| 10 | Brenen Thompson | WR | Mississippi St. | 90% | $10.5M-$16.2M | — | — |
| 11 | Chris Bell | WR | Louisville | 82% | $10.8M-$16.5M | — | — |
| 12 | Germie Bernard | WR | Alabama | 86% | $9.1M-$13.9M | — | — |
| 13 | Zachariah Branch | WR | Georgia | 96% | $8.0M-$12.2M | — | — |
| 14 | Makai Lemon | WR | USC | 81% | $9.5M-$14.5M | — | — |
| 15 | Ted Hurst | WR | Georgia St. | 71% | $9.6M-$14.7M | — | — |
| 16 | Bryce Lance | WR | North Dakota St. | 72% | $9.2M-$14.1M | — | — |
| 17 | Mike Washington Jr. | RB | Arkansas | 85% | $7.7M-$11.8M | — | — |
| 18 | Eli Stowers | TE | Vanderbilt | 62% | $10.2M-$15.6M | — | — |
| 19 | Antonio Williams | WR | Clemson | 73% | $8.7M-$13.3M | — | — |
| 20 | Malachi Fields | WR | Notre Dame | 75% | $7.6M-$11.6M | — | — |
| 21 | Skyler Bell | WR | Connecticut | 61% | $9.2M-$14.0M | — | — |
| 22 | Ja'Kobi Lane | WR | USC | 71% | $7.2M-$11.1M | — | — |
| 23 | Justin Joly | TE | North Carolina St. | 72% | $6.8M-$10.4M | — | — |
| 24 | Kevin Coleman Jr. | WR | Missouri | 52% | $9.2M-$14.1M | — | — |
| 25 | Tanner Koziol | TE | Houston | 73% | $6.2M-$9.6M | — | — |
| 26 | Will Kacmarek | TE | Ohio St. | 71% | $6.4M-$9.8M | — | — |
| 27 | Max Klare | TE | Ohio St. | 60% | $7.3M-$11.1M | — | — |
| 28 | Caleb Douglas | WR | Texas Tech | 60% | $6.7M-$10.3M | — | — |
| 29 | Jadarian Price | RB | Notre Dame | 73% | $5.3M-$8.1M | — | — |
| 30 | Jack Endries | TE | Texas | 57% | $6.8M-$10.4M | — | — |
| 31 | Kaytron Allen | RB | Penn St. | 62% | $5.7M-$8.7M | — | — |
| 32 | Bauer Sharp | TE | LSU | 58% | $5.3M-$8.2M | — | — |
| 33 | Kaelon Black | RB | Indiana | 79% | $3.9M-$5.9M | — | — |
| 34 | Seydou Traore | TE | Mississippi St. | 59% | $4.8M-$7.4M | — | — |
| 35 | Reggie Virgil | WR | Texas Tech | 57% | $4.5M-$6.9M | — | — |
| 36 | Anthony Smith | WR | East Carolina | 50% | $5.2M-$7.9M | — | — |
| 37 | CJ Daniels | WR | Miami (FL) | 39% | $6.5M-$9.9M | — | — |
| 38 | Carsen Ryan | TE | BYU | 45% | $5.5M-$8.5M | — | — |
| 39 | Barion Brown | WR | LSU | 34% | $6.8M-$10.4M | — | — |
| 40 | Jonah Coleman | RB | Washington | 39% | $5.4M-$8.3M | — | — |
| 41 | Sam Roush | TE | Stanford | 53% | $3.9M-$6.0M | — | — |
| 42 | Eli Heidenreich | FB | Navy | 32% | $6.1M-$9.3M | — | — |
| 43 | Malik Benson | WR | Oregon | 35% | $4.9M-$7.5M | — | — |
| 44 | Nate Boerkircher | TE | Texas A&M | 32% | $5.2M-$7.9M | — | — |
| 45 | Kaden Wetjen | WR | Iowa | 40% | $4.1M-$6.3M | — | — |
| 46 | Eli Raridon | TE | Notre Dame | 27% | $5.4M-$8.3M | — | — |
| 47 | Max Bredeson | TE | Michigan | 56% | $2.6M-$4.0M | — | — |
| 48 | Seth McGowan | RB | Kentucky | 29% | $4.9M-$7.5M | — | — |
| 49 | Matthew Hibner | TE | SMU | 30% | $4.6M-$7.0M | — | — |
| 50 | Emmett Johnson | RB | Nebraska | 37% | $3.5M-$5.4M | — | — |
| 51 | Riley Nowakowski | TE | Indiana | 41% | $3.1M-$4.8M | — | — |
| 52 | Zavion Thomas | WR | LSU | 44% | $2.9M-$4.4M | — | — |
| 53 | Josh Cameron | WR | Baylor | 51% | $2.4M-$3.7M | — | — |
| 54 | Lewis Bond | WR | Boston Col. | 29% | $4.0M-$6.1M | — | — |
| 55 | Marlin Klein | TE | Michigan | 17% | $5.4M-$8.3M | — | — |
| 56 | Jaren Kanak | TE | Oklahoma | 25% | $3.5M-$5.4M | — | — |
| 57 | Josh Cuevas | TE | Alabama | 17% | $5.1M-$7.8M | — | — |
| 58 | Demond Claiborne | RB | Wake Forest | 10% | $8.8M-$13.5M | — | — |
| 59 | Adam Randall | RB | Clemson | 15% | $5.4M-$8.3M | — | — |
| 60 | Kendrick Law | WR | Kentucky | 24% | $3.1M-$4.7M | — | — |
| 61 | CJ Williams | WR | Stanford | 22% | $3.0M-$4.6M | — | — |
| 62 | Jam Miller | RB | Alabama | 5% | $3.0M-$4.6M | — | — |
| 63 | Emmanuel Henderson Jr. | WR | Kansas | 3% | $4.0M-$6.1M | — | — |
| 64 | Dallen Bentley | TE | Utah | 4% | $2.8M-$4.3M | — | — |
| 65 | Cyrus Allen | WR | Cincinnati | 2% | $5.7M-$8.7M | — | — |
How these numbers are made. Two models, both built from real second contracts (as logged by Over the Cap) signed by the 2015–2023 draft classes. The odds column asks one question — does a drafted player earn a second NFL deal? — using only what is knowable on draft night: projected slot, bust risk, size, position. Tested on draft classes it never saw, it lands within a few points of the real round-by-round rates. The dollar column projects what the deal pays as a slice of that year's salary cap, then converts to today's cap — so it answers “what does the deal look like if he earns one,” not a blended expectation. Prospects who haven't played an NFL snap are projected on draft-night information alone; prospects who never cracked the consensus board get the rookie-scale figure and no odds, because the model has nothing honest to say about them. See methodology for how closely the projected odds track what actually happened.