AAV rankings
Two numbers per prospect, because a second contract is two bets. The odds column is the chance he earns a second NFL deal at all, priced at draft time — about 87 percent of first-rounders do, about 22 percent of seventh-rounders. The dollar figure is the deal's average annual value — the AAV in the page title — what it pays per season if it happens, in today's cap dollars, built from every real second contract signed by the 2015–2023 classes. We show them separately rather than blending them into one expected value: nobody signs the average of $60 million and nothing. The order does multiply them, though — a $17 million projection you collect one time in five is not worth more than a $17 million projection you collect almost surely, so the rank is odds × dollars even though the columns stay separate. For classes already through the league, compare the projection with what the player actually signed — both translated to the current cap, so a 2015 deal and a 2022 deal sit on the same scale.
Showing 2026. Back to the live class (2027).
| # | Player | Pos | College | 2nd-deal odds | AAV if signed | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | Indiana | 97% | $21.2M-$32.4M | — | — |
| 2 | Carnell Tate | WR | Ohio St. | 93% | $22.0M-$33.6M | — | — |
| 3 | Arvell Reese | LB | Ohio St. | 89% | $22.1M-$33.8M | — | — |
| 4 | KC Concepcion | WR | Texas A&M | 96% | $20.0M-$30.7M | — | — |
| 5 | Dillon Thieneman | S | Oregon | 97% | $18.4M-$28.2M | — | — |
| 6 | Elijah Sarratt | WR | Indiana | 93% | $16.6M-$25.4M | — | — |
| 7 | Jeremiyah Love | RB | Notre Dame | 94% | $15.5M-$23.8M | — | — |
| 8 | Jake Golday | LB | Cincinnati | 87% | $16.4M-$25.1M | — | — |
| 9 | Denzel Boston | WR | Washington | 72% | $19.7M-$30.1M | — | — |
| 10 | Spencer Fano | OT | Utah | 83% | $16.4M-$25.0M | — | — |
| 11 | Kadyn Proctor | OT | Alabama | 81% | $15.1M-$23.2M | — | — |
| 12 | Monroe Freeling | OT | Georgia | 88% | $13.7M-$20.9M | — | — |
| 13 | Avieon Terrell | CB | Clemson | 95% | $12.6M-$19.3M | — | — |
| 14 | Caleb Lomu | OT | Utah | 83% | $14.4M-$22.0M | — | — |
| 15 | Chris Brazzell II | WR | Tennessee | 81% | $14.7M-$22.5M | — | — |
| 16 | Caleb Downs | S | Ohio St. | 97% | $11.5M-$17.6M | — | — |
| 17 | D'Angelo Ponds | CB | Indiana | 97% | $11.4M-$17.4M | — | — |
| 18 | Emmanuel Pregnon | G | Oregon | 86% | $12.9M-$19.8M | — | — |
| 19 | Jordyn Tyson | WR | Arizona St. | 87% | $12.7M-$19.4M | — | — |
| 20 | Kenyon Sadiq | TE | Oregon | 90% | $11.9M-$18.3M | — | — |
| 21 | Jalen Farmer | G | Kentucky | 87% | $12.3M-$18.8M | — | — |
| 22 | Francis Mauigoa | OT | Miami (FL) | 81% | $13.2M-$20.2M | — | — |
| 23 | Olaivavega Ioane | G | Penn St. | 92% | $11.3M-$17.4M | — | — |
| 24 | Zion Young | EDGE | Missouri | 91% | $11.0M-$16.9M | — | — |
| 25 | Rueben Bain Jr. | EDGE | Miami (FL) | 93% | $10.7M-$16.4M | — | — |
| 26 | Dani Dennis-Sutton | EDGE | Penn St. | 86% | $11.4M-$17.4M | — | — |
| 27 | Keldric Faulk | EDGE | Auburn | 94% | $10.3M-$15.8M | — | — |
| 28 | Brenen Thompson | WR | Mississippi St. | 90% | $10.5M-$16.2M | — | — |
| 29 | Mansoor Delane | CB | LSU | 93% | $10.0M-$15.3M | — | — |
| 30 | Gabe Jacas | EDGE | Illinois | 82% | $11.1M-$17.1M | — | — |
| 31 | Chandler Rivers | CB | Duke | 97% | $9.2M-$14.1M | — | — |
| 32 | Chris Bell | WR | Louisville | 82% | $10.8M-$16.5M | — | — |
| 33 | Jermod McCoy | CB | Tennessee | 91% | $9.0M-$13.7M | — | — |
| 34 | Treydan Stukes | CB | Arizona | 86% | $9.2M-$14.1M | — | — |
| 35 | Jacob Rodriguez | LB | Texas Tech | 86% | $9.3M-$14.2M | — | — |
| 36 | Caleb Tiernan | OT | Northwestern | 86% | $9.1M-$14.0M | — | — |
| 37 | Germie Bernard | WR | Alabama | 86% | $9.1M-$13.9M | — | — |
| 38 | Kayden McDonald | DT | Ohio St. | 97% | $8.0M-$12.2M | — | — |
| 39 | Peter Woods | DT | Clemson | 72% | $10.7M-$16.4M | — | — |
| 40 | Michael Taaffe | S | Texas | 77% | $10.0M-$15.3M | — | — |
| 41 | Zachariah Branch | WR | Georgia | 96% | $8.0M-$12.2M | — | — |
| 42 | Makai Lemon | WR | USC | 81% | $9.5M-$14.5M | — | — |
| 43 | Connor Lew | C | Auburn | 76% | $9.5M-$14.5M | — | — |
| 44 | Anthony Hill Jr. | LB | Texas | 87% | $8.0M-$12.3M | — | — |
| 45 | Cashius Howell | EDGE | Texas A&M | 88% | $7.9M-$12.1M | — | — |
| 46 | Daylen Everette | CB | Georgia | 65% | $10.6M-$16.3M | — | — |
| 47 | Keylan Rutledge | G | Georgia Tech | 90% | $7.7M-$11.8M | — | — |
| 48 | Brandon Cisse | CB | South Carolina | 87% | $7.9M-$12.0M | — | — |
| 49 | Ted Hurst | WR | Georgia St. | 71% | $9.6M-$14.7M | — | — |
| 50 | T.J. Parker | EDGE | Clemson | 81% | $8.3M-$12.7M | — | — |
| 51 | Emmanuel McNeil-Warren | S | Toledo | 97% | $6.8M-$10.4M | — | — |
| 52 | Bryce Lance | WR | North Dakota St. | 72% | $9.2M-$14.1M | — | — |
| 53 | Colton Hood | CB | Tennessee | 73% | $9.1M-$14.0M | — | — |
| 54 | Mike Washington Jr. | RB | Arkansas | 85% | $7.7M-$11.8M | — | — |
| 55 | CJ Allen | LB | Georgia | 85% | $7.6M-$11.7M | — | — |
| 56 | Eli Stowers | TE | Vanderbilt | 62% | $10.2M-$15.6M | — | — |
| 57 | Antonio Williams | WR | Clemson | 73% | $8.7M-$13.3M | — | — |
| 58 | Chase Bisontis | G | Texas A&M | 83% | $7.5M-$11.5M | — | — |
| 59 | Keith Abney II | CB | Arizona St. | 86% | $7.1M-$10.9M | — | — |
| 60 | Austin Barber | OT | Florida | 85% | $7.2M-$11.0M | — | — |
| 61 | R Mason Thomas | EDGE | Oklahoma | 91% | $6.6M-$10.2M | — | — |
| 62 | Aiden Fisher | LB | Indiana | 73% | $8.2M-$12.6M | — | — |
| 63 | Malachi Fields | WR | Notre Dame | 75% | $7.6M-$11.6M | — | — |
| 64 | Caden Curry | EDGE | Ohio St. | 73% | $7.6M-$11.7M | — | — |
| 65 | Skyler Bell | WR | Connecticut | 61% | $9.2M-$14.0M | — | — |
| 66 | Derrick Moore | EDGE | Michigan | 64% | $8.7M-$13.3M | — | — |
| 67 | Fernando Carmona | G | Arkansas | 80% | $6.6M-$10.1M | — | — |
| 68 | Jude Bowry | OT | Boston Col. | 63% | $8.2M-$12.6M | — | — |
| 69 | Ja'Kobi Lane | WR | USC | 71% | $7.2M-$11.1M | — | — |
| 70 | Joshua Josephs | EDGE | Tennessee | 54% | $9.4M-$14.4M | — | — |
| 71 | Kyle Louis | LB | Pittsburgh | 60% | $8.3M-$12.7M | — | — |
| 72 | Keagen Trost | OL | Missouri | 69% | $7.3M-$11.2M | — | — |
| 73 | Jalen Huskey | S | Maryland | 70% | $7.1M-$10.9M | — | — |
| 74 | Charles Demmings | CB | Stephen F. Austin | 74% | $6.7M-$10.3M | — | — |
| 75 | Justin Joly | TE | North Carolina St. | 72% | $6.8M-$10.4M | — | — |
| 76 | Drew Shelton | OT | Penn St. | 61% | $7.9M-$12.0M | — | — |
| 77 | Kevin Coleman Jr. | WR | Missouri | 52% | $9.2M-$14.1M | — | — |
| 78 | Kaleb Elarms-Orr | LB | TCU | 63% | $7.3M-$11.1M | — | — |
| 79 | Miles Scott | S | Illinois | 66% | $6.7M-$10.3M | — | — |
| 80 | Enrique Cruz Jr. | OL | Kansas | 57% | $7.8M-$11.9M | — | — |
| 81 | Logan Taylor | G | Boston Col. | 59% | $7.5M-$11.5M | — | — |
| 82 | Max Klare | TE | Ohio St. | 60% | $7.3M-$11.1M | — | — |
| 83 | Josiah Trotter | LB | Missouri | 59% | $7.0M-$10.8M | — | — |
| 84 | Caleb Douglas | WR | Texas Tech | 60% | $6.7M-$10.3M | — | — |
| 85 | Markel Bell | OT | Miami (FL) | 54% | $7.5M-$11.4M | — | — |
| 86 | Sam Hecht | C | Kansas St. | 51% | $7.8M-$11.9M | — | — |
| 87 | Anez Cooper | G | Miami (FL) | 50% | $7.8M-$12.0M | — | — |
| 88 | Jack Endries | TE | Texas | 57% | $6.8M-$10.4M | — | — |
| 89 | Malachi Lawrence | EDGE | Central Florida | 47% | $7.6M-$11.6M | — | — |
| 90 | Alex Harkey | OT | Oregon | 43% | $7.5M-$11.5M | — | — |
| 91 | Tacario Davis | CB | Washington | 34% | $9.3M-$14.3M | — | — |
| 92 | Jeremiah Wright | G | Auburn | 42% | $7.0M-$10.7M | — | — |
| 93 | Barion Brown | WR | LSU | 34% | $6.8M-$10.4M | — | — |
| 94 | Namdi Obiazor | LB | TCU | 34% | $6.7M-$10.3M | — | — |
| 95 | Jadon Canady | CB | Oregon | 26% | $8.5M-$13.1M | — | — |
| 96 | LT Overton | EDGE | Alabama | 24% | $7.4M-$11.4M | — | — |
| 97 | Demond Claiborne | RB | Wake Forest | 10% | $8.8M-$13.5M | — | — |
3 quarterbacks are held off this ranking. Second-deal money at the position misses by more than a whole rookie contract on average, so we show a dash there sitewide rather than a number we can’t stand behind.
How these numbers are made. Two models, both built from real second contracts (as logged by Over the Cap) signed by the 2015–2023 draft classes. The odds column asks one question — does a drafted player earn a second NFL deal? — using only what is knowable on draft night: projected slot, bust risk, size, position. Tested on draft classes it never saw, it lands within a few points of the real round-by-round rates. The dollar column projects what the deal pays as a slice of that year's salary cap, then converts to today's cap — so it answers “what does the deal look like if he earns one,” not a blended expectation. Prospects who haven't played an NFL snap are projected on draft-night information alone; prospects who never cracked the consensus board get the rookie-scale figure and no odds, because the model has nothing honest to say about them. See methodology for how closely the projected odds track what actually happened.