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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2017 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
JM
Jalen Myrick
CB · Minnesota
22.2 yo · 5'10" · 200 lb
HW
Howard Wilson
CB · Houston
21.5 yo · 6'1" · 184 lb
RD
Rasul Douglas
CB · West Virginia
22.7 yo · 6'2" · 209 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Jalen Myrick
Predicted pick
#178
range #121–#271
Bust probability· rough estimate
44%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
Howard Wilson
Predicted pick
#141
range #61–#249
Bust probability· rough estimate
45%
Consensus rank
#53
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Rasul Douglas
Predicted pick
#72
range #16–#193
Bust probability· rough estimate
17%
Consensus rank
#126
on 12 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$12Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Jalen Myrick· CB / S
  • Howard Wilson· CB / S
  • Rasul Douglas· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJalen Myrick0
  • AthleticismJalen Myrick36
  • AgeHoward Wilson96
  • ConsensusHoward Wilson20
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Jalen Myrick50
  • Breakout ageJalen Myrick50
  • WorkloadJalen Myrick100
  • RAS × productionJalen Myrick53

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Jalen Myrick
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Howard Wilson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Rasul Douglas
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Jalen Myrick
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Howard Wilson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Rasul Douglas
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Jalen MyrickHoward WilsonRasul Douglas· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Jalen Myrick

−0.04 charting catch rate allowed avg; +0.03 charting: pass-rush productivity (true pass sets), career avg; −0.03 boards with him top-100

Howard Wilson

−0.04 charting catch rate allowed avg; +0.03 age; −0.03 boards with him top-100

Rasul Douglas

+0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 charting: pass-rush productivity (true pass sets), career avg; −0.03 charting catch rate allowed avg