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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2019 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (OT)
OU
Oli Udoh
OT · Elon
— · 6'5" · 323 lb
JM
Joshua Miles
OT · Morgan St.
— · — · —
DF
Drew Forbes
OT · SE Missouri St.
— · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Oli Udoh
Predicted pick
#119
range #98–#140
Bust probability· rough estimate
13%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Joshua Miles
Predicted pick
#125
range #100–#150
Bust probability· rough estimate
13%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Drew Forbes
Predicted pick
#124
range #99–#149
Bust probability· rough estimate
13%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Oli Udoh· Offensive line
  • Joshua Miles· Offensive line
  • Drew Forbes· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionOli Udoh50
  • AthleticismOli Udoh12
  • AgeJoshua Miles98
  • ConsensusJoshua Miles7
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Oli Udoh50
  • Breakout ageOli Udoh50
  • WorkloadOli Udoh50
  • RAS × productionOli Udoh31

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Oli Udoh
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Joshua Miles
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Drew Forbes
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Oli Udoh
Risks
  • Consensus skeptic
    1 board place him at mean rank #193; model has him #119 — a 74-spot gap. When boards fade a player this hard, the model is usually the one missing something.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Joshua Miles
Risks
  • No athletic testing
    No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Drew Forbes
Risks
  • No athletic testing
    No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Y6Y7Snap share
Oli UdohJoshua MilesDrew Forbes· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Oli Udoh

Draftanomics projects Oli Udoh as a mid-round flyer at #119 (range #98-#140, wide band). Bust probability sits at 13% — low. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 74 spots ahead of the room (board #119 vs consensus #193), and at a 13% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.

Joshua Miles

Draftanomics projects Joshua Miles as a mid-round flyer at #125 (range #100-#150, wide band). Bust probability sits at 13% — low. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #125 stands alone — and with bust risk at 13%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.

Drew Forbes

Draftanomics projects Drew Forbes as a mid-round flyer at #124 (range #99-#149, wide band). Bust probability sits at 13% — low. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #124 stands alone — and with bust risk at 13%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.